Tag Archives: Barrick Gold

Analyzing Gold & Silver Stocks: Avoid Barrick

Lior Gantz of the Wealth Research Group invited me onto this show to review Barrick Gold as an investment.  It was an interesting proposition because I was not given advance notice in order to prepare notes or review Barrick’s financials.  The exercise forced me to focus on an overview of my reservations about the quality of Barrick as an investment and point to the critical financial metrics I review when doing a “drive-by” analysis of a prospective mining stock investment.

Investing in the largest mining companies is like investing in IBM instead of the promising emerging technology stocks during the 1990’s technology revolution. The best geologists at the big companies, after they’ve reached a level of financial security, leave to develop new gold and silver projects that are often overlooked or rejected by the big companies. These are the types of investment opportunities that offer the best upside in the sector and these are the opportunities that present in the Mining Stock Journal. In the last 8 weeks two of the companies presented in the Mining Stock Journal have agreed to be acquired (Exeter Resources and Mariana Resources).

Templeton Funds And Druckenmiller Get Burned on Barrick

As reported on Bloomberg TV:  “Barrick Gold Corp was back in favor with fund managers last quarter, before the world’s biggest bullion producer reported disappointing earnings and rising costs…Billionaire investor Stan Druckenmiller’s Duquense Family Office LLC bought 2.85 million shares in Barrick” in the 1st quarter.

Apparently Templeton and Druckenmiller have not done their home work on mining stocks.  Anyone with any knowledge and experience investing in mining stocks knows that companies like Barrick and Goldcorp and are poorly managed, highly bureaucratic organizations.  As such, they are terrible vehicles with which to express a leveraged view on the precious metals market.

Barrick has all kinds of problems that will affect its profitability, including a pile-on of class action lawsuits that hit recently.   Anyone with experience in this sector already knows this. Rather than investing in the largest mining stocks, the best returns in the sector will be made by investing in the companies that will be acquired by these large caps.  A good example is the recent takeover of Exeter Resources (XRA) by Goldcorp:

If Stanley Druckenmiller had been a subscriber to the Mining Stock Journal, he would have known to buy XRA in early September (presented in the Sept 1, 2016 issue) at $1.16. The stock popped up to $1.80 when XRA and GG announced the merger. That’s a 55% ROR in 7 months. MSJ subscribers were also shown Mariana Resources in the December 22, 2016 issue at 82 cents. Mariana agreed to acquired by Sandstorm Gold in a deal valued at $1.41. Because of the heavy stock component, SAND traded lower and Mariana traded up to $1.24. A 51% ROR in four months. The new stock idea presented in mid-April is up 19% and has a lot more room to run.

The Mining Stock Journal is a bi-weekly subscription publication that is designed to help you navigate the smaller-cap mining stocks.  You can learn more about the subscription service here:  Mining Stock Journal information.

After subscribing to Brent Cook for 3 months, I was underwhelmed. Resubscribed to you a few weeks back and sure am glad I did so. You are one the few straight shooters still out there. Keep up the great work. I think we are right on the cusp of a serious market break, thus the war drums. – subscriber “Chris”

Global Supply Of Gold Tightens After Barrick Mine Closure

An Argentinian judge has ordered an indefinite suspension of mining at Barrick’s Veladero gold mine in Argentina due to a serious cyanide leak.  To underscore the severity of the situation,it is being speculated that Barrick’s mine manager – who is no longer working at the site – has fled to Canada to avoid any possible prosecution.

Lawrence Williams provides a good analysis of the situation here:  LINK.   However, it is also worth reading an article in the Buenos Aires Herald, which reports that the Government has filed a complaint against Barrick:  LINK.

This is an interesting development because the Valedero mine produces 10% of ABX’s 6 million ounces per annum – or 17 tonnes.  This represents approximately .6% of the annual global gold mine production.

It’s not clear how long this mine will remained close.  Certainly longer than the couple weeks that Barrick CEO, Kelvin Dushnisky, asserted after making light of the issue at the Denver Gold Forum.

In the opinion of this blog and the Mining Stock Journal,  Barrick is a corporate abortion of a company and should be avoided at all costs as an investment.

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