Tag Archives: gold-backed currency

China And Russia Look To Take Over Global Gold Trading

BRICS countries are large economies with large reserves of gold and an impressive volume of production and consumption of this precious metal. In China, the gold trade is conducted in Shanghai, in Russia it is in Moscow. Our idea is to create a link between the two cities in order to increase trade between the two markets,” First Deputy Governor of the Russian Central Bank Sergey Shvetsov told TASS  – RT.com, April 19

The article in RT.com from which the above quote is sourced surprisingly did not receive a lot of attention from the alternative media.  Perhaps it was overshadowed by the highly anticipated move by China to commence fixing the price of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange in yuan.  I suggested that we would not see an immediate impact on the price of gold, which we have not, but that the move was part of a larger plan by China to “de-dollarize” the world.

Also largely ignored by the alternative media was the fact that Russia added another 500,000 ounces of gold to its Central Bank reserves – data provided by Smaulgld.com. To put this into some context, currently the Comex, which is sporting over 50 million ounces of paper gold open interest, is reporting 643k ounces of gold designated as available for delivery (“registered”).   In 2015, Russia added a record amount of gold tonnage to its Central Bank stash.

I would argue, as would many, that China and Russia are strategically and methodically weaning the world off paper gold and fiat currencies and are looking to officially remove the dollar from its reserve status and to re-introduce gold into the global monetary system – without triggering WW3.   Of course, this would explain the Obama Government’s recent military belligerence toward both countries…

Dennis Gartman, among many others, has expressed anxiety over the net short position in gold futures by the “commercial trader segment” bullion banks per the Commitment of Traders report.  The fear is that the banks are getting ready to attack the price of gold with another hedge fund “long liquidation” operation.  This, of course, is a trading pattern in the precious metals that we have become accustomed to enduring since the bull market began in 2000/2001.   Obvious manipulation that for some reason seems to be undetectable by the Government regulators (CFTC) who are paid by the Taxpayers to enforce laws.

I looked at some statistics from the COT data that goes back  to 2005 (compiled assiduously by one of the partners in the investment fund I co-manage).   While the net short position in gold futures held by the bullion banks, 240,121 per the latest COT report,  is quite a bit higher than the average net short over the period (-161,781), it’s not even close to the highest net short of -308,231 in December 2009 or -302,740 in September 2010.  In 2009, gold sold off for a bit after that -308k reading  but in 2010 gold continued higher toward $1900 after the -302k reading.

The point here is that the relative net short position held by the criminal bullion banks is not necessarily the best predictive metric with which to forecast the next move in the price of gold. Furthermore, it’s quite possible that the physical gold market activities being conducted by China and Russia will act as a counter-force to the manipulation efforts exerted by the western Central/bullion banks.

I have argued for years that traditional chart and t/a analysis applied to the precious metals is thoroughly useless because of the high degree of intervention by the Central and bullion banks.

With that reservation about using charts, I wanted to present a couple charts of gold and one of the dollar because, in my view, gold is potentially set up for a monster move higher and the dollar appears to be potentially headed off the proverbial cliff (click on images to enlarge):

Untitled1Untitled

Untitled-1 The graph on the above-right is a 10-yr weekly of gold. You can see that over this time period, the price of gold is still exceedingly “oversold” per the TRIX indicator.  The graph on the above-left is a 1-yr daily which shows that gold has been “oscillating” laterally in a consolidation formation.  It’s brushing up against its 50 dma (yellow line).  Of course, at this point, the price of gold could “break” either way, higher or lower.   Perhaps even a quick trip down to its 200 dma (red line).  Having said that, the longer term graph of gold, combined with the massive demand for physical gold from Russia and China, suggests that every manipulated price hit should be aggressively bought.  You can see the dollar (lower left graph) is positioned treacherously, as it has traded well below its 50 dma and could be headed lower.  Certainly the ongoing economic and political deterioration of the United States is not giving anyone a reason to buy dollars.

There’s been a lot of “chatter” about whether or not the mining shares, which have had a tremendous run since mid-January, are “overbought.”  The general consensus is that the mining shares are due for a pullback and I know a lot of my subscribers are hesitant to buy right now.  My view is that, in the context of the brutal beating inflicted on the miners since March 2011 by overt manipulative forces – from both official entities and predatory hedge funds – it’s impossible to determine a true measure of “overbought” because the mining shares have been oversold for nearly five years.

I’m in an email group with a very impressive roster of precious metals investment and analytic professionals. One of them who is rather well-known made this comment today, which I thought summed up the situation perfectly:    Now everybody is desperately waiting on the sideline to build up a first positon in gold, silver and miners, but nobody wants to buy into the rally, but rather buy into a correction… that’s why I am convinced, that every bigger dip will be bought and gold might head to 1,400-1,500 by year end! 

The next bi-monthly issue of my Mining Stock Journal will be released Thursday. I have a sub-50 cent junior exploration stock to present with a market cap that is likely 1/10 the intrinsic value of the Company given the amount of proved gold and silver it has already discovered.  This company is self-funding for now as well.  You can access the next issue plus I’m offering the four previous back-issues (for now) by clicking here:  Mining Stock Journal.

mining-stock-journal-header-border

 

SoT – Jeff Brown (in Beijing): China Confronts Western Thieves Led By Soros

In 1979 the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) – a precursor to the euro – was established.  The ERM created a semi-fixed currency exchange rate mechanism among the European members of the system which was anchored to the Deutsche Mark.    By 1992, less than two years after England joined the ERM,  it was obvious to interested observers that the British pound had become significantly overvalued relative to the Deutsche Mark.

At the time, England had a large current account deficit and was experiencing a nasty recession. Although he British Government was committed to maintaining the BP’s peg to the Deutsche Mark, George Soros, in what became billed as “the trade of the century,” began to accumulate a large bet against the pound.  After wasting billions in taxpayer funds trying to support the pound, the British Government eventually capitulated by exiting the ERM and the market forced a nasty revaluation of the pound.   Soros ended up netting over a billion dollars in profits.  (For the record,  it has been speculated with valid source documentation that the Rothschild family was behind Soros’ attack on the British Government/Bank of England).

Let this be a lesson in price-fixing, as the only thing accomplished by the British Government’s endeavor was a massive transfer of wealth from taxpayers to George Soros & Co. and likely even more to the Rothschild family.  Price fixing markets always fails eventually.

Fast-forward to the present and we find Soros now attempting to profit from what looks like a methodical, strategic devaluation of the Chinese renminbi (yuan) by the Chinese Government.

But there’s a big difference between England circa 1992 and China 2016.  China is running a massive trade surplus, it’s the world’s largest importer/exporter and likely sports the world’s biggest GDP.  It’s financial condition is reinforced by $3.3 trillion in foreign currency reserves.   It can be argued that China is on the ascent to become the next world superpower.

Perhaps the most interesting “wild card” held by China is its Central Bank hoard of gold. The $3.3 trillion in forex reserves does not include the market value of the China’s State-owned gold.  Alasdair Macleod has produced compelling arguments which suggest that China could hold well in excess of 20,000 tonnes of gold, nothwithstanding the current amount to which China publicly admits.

Most analysts who have been observing China for at least over a decade have been wondering how it would be able to unload its massive Treasury holdings, which at one point were around $1.4 trillion.   The market turmoil surrounding China’s intermittent currency devaluations has stirred up a flight to safety bid for Treasuries in the global markets into which China has already unloaded a couple hundred billion dollars worth of Treasuries.  Is China selling dollars to support its currency or is there a more clever strategy at work?

China likely is not going to wait around to be a bagholder of a trillion dollars in eventually worthless Treasuries.  Enter George Soros who announced recently with much bravado that he was betting big against the yuan.  The Chinese Government, via the State-owned People’s Daily newspaper issued a frank warning to those who are openly speculating against the yuan.  Clear it was a shot across the bow back at Soros.

The Shadow of Truth hosted Jeff Brown (China Rising blog) – who has been living in Beijing for the 5 years and is working on Xi Jinping’s diaries – for an interesting discussion about China’s current affairs as they relate to the attack on its currency by Soros.  At the very least there is a lot more going on behind the scenes with China’s moves in the markets than meets the eye and Jeff helps shine a light some of China’s motives.

SoT Ep 17 – Bix Weir: Silver, Gold And The End Game

When the bond market collapses it will make the stock market crash look like a day at the beach.  – Bix Weir, Shadow of Truth

How much gold does China’s Central Bank/Government currently own?  How much will they admit to owning when they update their holdings in June?  Estimates of China’s gold holdings range anywhere from 4,000 tonnes to 40,000 tonnes.   No one knows how much gold they will report, but it is highly probable that the number they do report is a number that they want the mainstream world to believe and there’s probably a lot of thought that has gone into masterminding this disclosure.

Bix connects the genesis of the rigging of the stock market to computer programs written originally by Alan Greenspan using BASIC programs.  Greenspan was high school classmates with the co-inventor of BASIC – John Kemeny.   This was some fascinating history with which I was not aware, but I have been able to corroborate the information.

So what will the end-game look like as it unfolds?  Bix offers an optimistic vision in which the “good guys” are able to push out and eliminate the “bad guys” and the system “reset” we all know is coming will provide the foundation for new beginning and better world.

We think you’ll find this an engaging and interesting conversation we have with Bix.  He’s clearly done a lot of research and offers some extremely interesting insights and viewpoints: