Tag Archives: LBMA

Is Gold Signaling The Next Financial Crisis?

Gold and silver have been sold down pretty hard since April 18th. But the structure of the weekly Commitment of Traders report, which shows the long and short positions of the various trader classifications (banks, hedgers, hedge funds, other large investment funds, retail) had been flashing a short term sell signal for the last few weeks. The net short position of the Comex banks and the net long position of the hedge funds had reached relatively high levels. Except Thursday (May 4th), almost all of the price decline action was occurring after the London p.m. gold fix and during the Comex floor trading hours, exclusively. This tells us all we need to know about the nature of the selling, especially given the enormous amount of physical gold currently being accumulated by the usual eastern hemisphere countries. The table to the right  calculates the Comex banks’ paper gold positioning going back to 2005.  As you can see, currently the net short position and the net short position as a percent of total open interest has reached a relatively high level. This typically happens when the banks engage in raiding the Comex by unloading massive quantities of paper gold in bursts in order to trigger hedge fund stop-loss selling. It serves the dual purpose of pushing down the price of gold and providing a relatively riskless source of profits for the banks.

This is the cycle that has repeated numerous times per year since 2001. This time, however, more than any other time since 2001, the sell-off in the price of gold is counter-intuitive to the collapsing financial and economic condition of the United States, specifically, and the entire world in general. The likely reason for the current price take-down of gold is an attempt by the elitists to remove the batteries from the “fire alarm” mechanism embedded in a rising price of gold. An alarm that lets the populace know that there’s a big problem that will hit the system sooner or later; an alarm that lets the public know systemic failure is beyond Government and Central Bank Control.

A similar manipulated take-down of the price of gold and silver occurred in the spring of 2008, ahead of the great financial crisis. Gold was pushed down to $750 from $1050 and silver was taken down from $20 to $10. This price decline was counter-intuitive to the collapsing financial condition of the U.S. financial system, which had become obvious to anyone not blinded by the official propaganda at the time. Of course, after the financial collapse occurred and was addressed with money printing, the price of gold ran up to an all-time high.

It’s likely that a similar situation is taking place now. Only this time around all “assets” are in price-bubbles fomented by record levels of fiat money creation and the interminable expansion of credit. The debt portion of this equation is getting ready to hit the wall, the only question is timing. This explains the parabolic move in the price of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is nearly impossible to manipulate. Once the western Central Banks lose the ability to manipulate the price of gold in the derivatives markets, the price of gold and silver will go on their own parabolic price journey – one that will leave the price of Bitcoin in the rear view mirror.

If you are interested in getting unique, insightful gold/silver market analysis and mining stock investment ideas ahead of the market, subscribe to the Mining Stock Journal.  You can get more information about this here:  MSJ subscription info.

The CME Extends The Paper Fraud To The Coin Market

On April 11th, the CME and England’s Royal Mint announced that they were testing a blockchain-based platform for trading gold.  The product to be traded is a new crypto-coin called, Royal Mint Gold (“RMG”).  The token will be issued by the Royal Mint and will represent the digitized version of 1 gram of gold.   The gold will be stored in the Royal Mint’s vaults.

This news announcement was surprisingly overlooked by the alternative media, except for Rory Hall at his Daily Coin website:  CryptoGold and Thieving Bankers.  However, the fact that the CME is involved should have set off the smoke alarms throughout at least the segment of the alternative that seeks to shine the light of truth on precious metals trading and ownership.   This is because the concept of a “new alternative way to trade gold” is an extension of the “fractional gold and silver bullion market” that is driven by the paper derivative precious metals products traded on the Comex and the LBMA.

The truth is that this new “blockchain-based” technology is nothing more than a mechanism to divert investor money away from taking delivery of actual physical gold and silver in the form of Royal Mint bullion coins and LBMA bars, thereby removing the availability of physical gold and silver that can be used for hypothecation.  Furthermore, the new  product is an extension of the institutional-level fractional bullion system that utilizes Comex/LBMA paper gold and silver contracts in order to fabricate the illusion that the buyers of those contracts have purchased legal ownership the underlying bullion bars. Below is an excerpt from the Royal Mint’s website which promotes the new concept:

RMG®, an innovative new product launching in 2017, will provide the investment performance of the London Gold Market with the transparency of an exchange-traded security. RMG holders will negate counterparty risk, by having direct ownership of physical gold bullion where each RMG represents ownership and full title to 1g of physical gold bullion held in the form of fully allocated, LBMA Good Delivery Bars within The Royal Mint’s vault.

We believe these features, coupled with the guarantee of zero ongoing annual management fees and free storage, represents one of the best and cost-effective ways to invest in physical gold today. At any time RMG can be redeemed for physical gold bars and coins produced by The Royal Mint, with physical delivery.

The basic tenet of the RMG is that “counter-party” risk is eliminated because the buyers are purchasing direct ownership of gold that is stored in the Royal Mint’s vault.   However, the idea of custodial possession – where the owner trusts the safe-keeping of an asset with a third party – is in and of itself a primary source of counter-party risk.   The first law of ownership of gold is that you do not fully “own” it until it is in your personal possession. Just ask the German Government.

The second myth in that statement above by the Royal Mint is the gold is held in the form of fully allocated LBMA Good Delivery Bars (in the Mint’s vault).  This is GLD’s holy grail claim as well.  The problem, again, is accountability.  Until gold custodian’s are willing undergo a fully independent 3rd party audit at any time and without advance notice, it’s silly to assume that these custodians possess full, legal title to the gold they are reporting to be in their vaults.   The poster-child example is the U.S. Federal Reserve, which has spent millions to avoid the prospect of a legally enforced audit of its gold vaults by a third party, fully independent auditor.

The Shadow of Truth discusses this new mechanism of deceit in today’s podcast and we explain why it’s riddled with counter-party risk and the potential for fraud on the same scale as Comex and LBMA gold and silver derivative products.

Welcome To The Twilight Zone: Comex Paper Gold And Silver

The following was written by Eric Dubin of The News Doctors:

It’s not an accident that the hit to gold and silver came AFTER the London PM Fix. We’ve got physical gold demand in Asia that is downright explosive (I’ll document this in a separate article later this week because no one has done a comprehensive painting of all of the trends in once place) and the cartel apparently wanted to hit metals as well as push long-term bond yields up and prices down to reflect a fake steepening of the yield curve to help banks improve solvency while sending a fake signal of a strong economy.

The London market is still a large physical settlement market and if this hit came before the London PM Fix there would likely be a large amount of off-take stimulated as Asian buyers scarf-up more physical. What to do? Kick the crap out of gold and silver after the fix, and hope that sentiment is gravely wounded over the subsequent hours and before the next major physical settlement potential of tomorrow’s London PM Fix. When you look at the news headlines for all assets and political issues there’s no good reason for this move other than the coordinated actions and statements in the media by Mnuchin, which was clearly well timed to deal with the ongoing challenge of steering precious metals down, steepening the yield curve to help banks survive because they can make more profit with a sloped yield curve spread to help pad their balance sheet over time while sending a fake signal about a strong economy implied by an upwardly sloping yield curve.

ZeroHedge on the gold hit (and Tyler missed the importance of why this hit came after the London PM Fix): The Read The Rest Of This Analysis Click Here:   Welcome To The Twilight Zone

Will Physical Gold/Silver Demand Prevent A Bigger Sell-Off?

The precious metals market has been under attack for the last two weeks by the Comex banks who have once again built-up an extreme net short position in their paper gold and silver positions.  In fact the open interest in paper silver recently set a new record high, exceeding the previous high set in 2011, when the price of gold was approaching $50.  That it took a record amount of paper silver creation to keep the price of silver below $20  a sense of desperation by the banking cartel in its effort to keep gold and silver “irrelevant” as an investment.

But the price action of the metals is behaving somewhat differently from past cycles when the banks decide to flex their muscles and trample on the precious metals market by bombarding the Comex with thousands of gold and silver contracts in order to disgorge the long positions held by hedge funds and create intermittent “waterfall” sell-offs.

Eric Dubin (The News Doctors) and the “Doc” (Silver Doctors) invited me back on to their “Metals and Markets” weekly show sponsored by SD Bullion to chat about the precious metals, junior mining stocks and geopolitical current events:

If you would like more information about Investment Research Dynamics’ Mining Stock Journal or Short Seller’s Journal, click on either banner below. The latest MSJ features a relatively unknown junior mining stock that could eventually be a 5-10 bagger from its current price (currently below 30 cents) and the new issue of SSJ (published this evening) explains why the housing market is about to follow the retail and auto sales into a recessionary spiral:

Massive Attacks On Gold Reek Of Desperation

The paper silver open interest on the Comex is at all-time highs.  The previous all-time high was 224k contracts when the price of silver was pushing $50 in 2011.  The current paper silver open interest is 229k contracts with the price of silver at $18.  At least the degree of fake silver open interest in silver was more appropriate to the price level at which silver was trading in 2011.

Having said that, the current paper silver open interest is entirely inappropriate relative to the amount of silver reported to be held in Comex silver vaults.  229 thousand silver contracts translates into 1.15 billion ozs of paper silver.  That number represents  about 37% more actual silver ounces produced by global by mining companies in one year.  Compare that paper representation of silver to the actual 193 million ozs of silver reported to be held in Comex vaults, primarily “held” by JP Morgan which is reporting nearly 102 million ozs of silver in its vault.

Notwithstanding whether or not those 101 million ozs of silver are actually sitting physically in JP Morgan’s Comex-designated custodial vault (and much of it has likely been hypothecated), the amount of paper silver issued primarily by Comex bullion banks is nearly 6x the total amount of silver reported to be held in Comex vaults.

But it gets worse.  The amount of silver that has been designated as available for delivery, or “registered silver,” is only 30 million ozs.  In other words, the amount of paper silver issued by the Comex is 38x greater than the amount of silver made available to be delivered to the holders of those silver contracts.

The point here is that the Comex is likely the world’s most fraudulent market. In fact, It’s inappropriate to refer to the Comex as a “market.”  The Comex is nothing but a mechanism by which the Fed, in conjunction with the Treasury’s Exchange Stabilization Fund and the Comex bullion banks, exerts control over the price of silver.

The degree to which the Fed et al has to exert fraud in order to contain the price of silver is reflected by the absurd imbalance between paper silver contracts issued in relation to the amount of the underlying silver available for delivery.   In any other commodity sector this situation would be labeled “criminal.” With silver and gold it’s labeled, “nothing to see here, move along.”

As with silver, the trading patterns in gold reflect a high degree of desperation by the bullion banks to contain the price and demand of physical gold.  Interestingly, right now most of the blatant manipulation appears to be connected to the London p.m. gold fix activity on the LBMA.  We believe it’s evidence of a growing shortage of physical gold available to deliver into India, China and other gold-buying countries.   We explain this view in detail in today’s Shadow of Truth episode:

The next issue of the Mining Stock Journal, released this evening to subscribers, will have new junior explorer idea with 5-10x upside potential. It will also have an alternative explanation to the JNUG suspension of new unit issuance and why this could be very bullish for the sector. You can find out more about subscribing to the MSJ here:   Mining Stock Journal Subscription Info.

Indian Gold Imports In February Tripled

Mehul Choksi, chairman of jewellery store chain Gitanjali Gems Ltd., is quoted as saying: “We expect some heavy buying in April as a large number of weddings are expected to take place. – LINK

Legal Indian gold imports jumped up to 96.4 tonnes in February vs. February 2016. These numbers come from the finance ministry and not the World Gold Council or bullion banks. This reinforces the observations by many that the BIS-directed attempt to curtail Indian gold demand by removing cash from the financial system has failed.  Gresham’s Law in action.   This number also does not include smuggled gold which, based on the increase in airport arrests so far in 2017, has ramped up considerably.

Amusingly, Cititgroup is forecasting total 2017 demand in India to be 725 tonnes.  This number is laughable.  Smuggling alone is thought to account for about 300 tonnes per year of gold going in to India.  As a bullion bank with an untenable paper gold short position, Citigroup can only dream that India’s gold importation will be that low in 2017.

There will be a big “snap-back” effect on India’s gold demand after the brief intervention by the Government in late 2016.  Based on yesterday’s response in the paper gold market in NYC after the Fed’s rate hike announcement, it seems that the western Central Banks/bullion banks are losing control of the bullion market.

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Gold & Silver Manipulation: The Biggest Financial Crime In History

Investment Research Dynamics is pleased to present another truth-seeking missile launched by Stewart Dougherty:

This crime is already 285 times bigger than the LIBOR scandal, and 500 times bigger than Madoff’s swindle. It is, in fact, the largest, most destructive financial crime in history.

According to the mainstream financial media (MFM), the biggest financial frauds in history are the Bernie Madoff Ponzi scheme, with roughly $20 billion in net investor losses, and the Bank State rigging of LIBOR, which resulted in 16 guilty banks paying $35 billion in fines, which supposedly equated to their theft.

The MFM have conveniently ignored a far larger financial crime that has been perpetrated for 37 years and counting, and that has netted its orchestrators more than $1,000,000,000,000.00 ($1 trillion) in stolen profits. This crime is so powerful that it can produce fraudulent proceeds of $1+ billion on demand and in minutes, making it unique in the annals of theft. It is a crime that has been committed literally thousands of times since 1980, and is now being committed in the most blatant and brazen manner ever. This crime is already 285 times bigger than the LIBOR scandal, and 500 times bigger than Madoff’s swindle. It is, in fact, the largest, most destructive financial crime in history.

To read the rest of this, please click here:  Gold & Silver Manipulation

 

Hugo Salinas Price: The World Will Hyperinflate Into A Gold Standard

If one can only see value in paper currency terms, one cannot see value at all

Hugo Salinas Price – website link – posted a couple of comments on Stewart Dougherty’s guest post earlier this week. I concluded that his insights needed to be shared on the front of this blog and he gave me permission to edit them together to make them easier to read for everyone.  “I know my comment was complex but I wanted to condense the thoughts I have developed over three decades:”

I would like to take this chance to share a few of my thoughts on this. To me it is pretty clear that the American gold is encumbered. Not because of the usual reasons found on the web but because America defaulted on its gold under the Nixon administration. There are still, many foreign claims on that gold.  If America starts to use that gold officially, the gold vultures, like the bond vulture funds, will be out en masse and with force.  So it is in America’s best interest to ignore that gold – and gold in general.

The world has (finally) realized that a country with the reserve currency is not something a country should want and that the dollar can fail. The danger is that it will fail to soon. That is why the euro was created for example. The currencies from the individual countries were all issued from the US treasury.  Meaning that if the dollar went the way of the dodo, the European currencies would die with it. Enter the euro, issued from gold [the euro was originally partially backed by gold].  The gold held by the ECB is priced on a mark to market basis. You can check the website of the ECB, its number one asset is listed as gold and, sadly, gold receivables [meaning that gold is leased out].  Most of the Eurasian landmass followed this initiative [pricing Central Bank gold on a mark to market basis] – for instance, the BRICS countries.  All that is needed a rebalancing of the gold holdings of major countries. Enter China. They had way too little gold and way too many dollars. But last year they also started to mark their gold holdings to market.

Seems to me the world is ready to hyperinflate into gold.  After all, all currencies have already hyperinflated in the financial world.  When the run on real things happens, as a system operator, you don’t want that since a functioning printing press is worth way more than gold. So you want to guide the hyperinflation into a useless metal and use this gold to help equalize the tradeflows. They cannot implement a global political & economic system when things are unstable because it will fail again and soon.  Just as all reserve currencies did since late 1400.  If I were in the position of the globalists, I would aim for the Roman model. Split the money concept. Currency for spending and settling debts but use gold and silver as a final debt extinguisher.  This would function to prevent the kind of mess the EU countries are now  in. The debts of the south are the assets of the North. This is a recipe for disaster.

Let me elaborate on why I think that the world is ready to hyperinflate in gold terms. The Western public will not hold an asset that goes nowhere, at least in currency terms. The public in the East were never fooled that way. Some  – I think rightly – joke “if one can only see value in paper currency terms, one cannot see value at all”.  I also think gold is wealth and not money. Gold has always been funny in that way. So many people worldwide think of it as money even though its supply tends to dry up as the price rises.

First the Comex will be thrown under the bus to destroy the paper leverage (price suppression) game. Maybe the LBMA as well though I would not be surprised as well if it’s allowed to stay alive. Then the prices can rise and the message will sent:  “gold is the new wealth reserve to balance trade imbalances and then the Western hyperinflation will be killed.”  Central banks lose most of their gold reserves (and that is good) and gold can do what it did for millennia again, settle trade imbalances.

As usual, in historical terms, most of the average people wont have it besides a few grams. But it will be people, not institutions that control it and will help to create a decentralised counterforce to the centralized system we live in that is hopelessly out of touch with reality.

A last thing, courtesy of JS mineset, of the countries that value their gold on a  mark to market basis (a few others may have followed since this graph was created:

 

Gold & Silver: Buy The Paper Price Attacks

These premiums [the ex-duty import prices being paid for legal kilo bar imports in India] are actually quite remarkable as the need to import kilo bars only arises if Indian demand is not satisfied by Dore imports (which had a duty advantage of $15.52/oz this afternoon) and smuggled gold. Reports of apprehensions at Indian airports are continuing to appear, indicating that smuggling has in fact revived. – excerpt from John Brimelow’s Gold Jottings Report (contact John at brimelowgoldjottings@gmail.com to learn more about his service)

The price of gold & silver have had a big move since mid-December, despite the flood of “fake news” connected to the temporary disruption of gold imports into India precipitated by Modi’s now-failed attempt to limit the ability of Indians to buy physical gold and despite the plethora of fake news about the quantity of gold flowing into China both before and after after the week-long Chinese New Year observance.

Brimelow goes on to assert in one of his Monday updates that, “Viewed from a US-centric and technical perspective, gold’s friends have something to worry about. However the Asian buying is about as strong as it ever usually gets and for that reason the Bears’ prospects are probably limited.”  Note, the “technical perspective” indirectly references that use of paper gold by the western bullion banks in their attempt to control the global price of gold.

As an example of the price-control mechanism implemented in the western paper market, you’ll note that after a surprise bounce in gold on Friday, likely stimulated by paper short-covering on the Comex, was met with an attack after the Monday a.m. LBMA gold price “fix” and again right after the Comex floor paper gold trading commences:

These are typical times during the day, when the physical gold buying markets in the east are closed for the day and the western paper market manipulators take control of global gold trading via LMBA forwards and Comex futures and OTC derivatives.

Just as notable about Friday’s move higher in gold during NY trading hours is that fact that the price was moving in correlation with a move higher in both the dollar index and the U.S. stock market.  Often, there is an inverse correlation between gold and the USDX/Dow/SPX.

There’s is an “invisible hand” in the market pushing the prices of gold and silver higher in defiance of the attempted price control schemes being exerted in London and New York. This silent operator is without the pressure being exerted in the physical market.

This week I’m sure will prove to be a bit of a price roller-coaster, as the semi-annual “Humphrey-Hawkins” (as it used to be called) Fed Chairman testimony on monetary policy and the economy is a time used by the western CB’s and bullion banks to control the price of gold using paper. After all, they can’t have the price of gold moving higher when the Fed’s El Hefe is extolling the virtues of the fiat currency and fractional banking system in front of Congress and the world, which begins today.

The point here is that it’s my view that the next longer term trend move in gold is higher, which means that price attacks should be used as buying opportunities, both for the metal and the mining shares.  In fact, the mining shares were quite stubborn about going lower when gold was being hit hard in New York after being hit hard in London.  Typically this is a signal to the market that prices in the precious metals sector are going higher.

 

Trump Fiddles While The United States Burns

If history is any guide, global changes of this magnitude mean that the entrenched systems run by central banks and Deep State politics are set to be destabilized on a level we may have not witnessed in our lifetimes, which means assets like bitcoin, gold, and silver could become the safe havens of choice for investors.  – Mac Slavo, SHTFplan.com

Mac’s comment above was in response to the news that First Majestic CEO, Keith Neumeyer, is prepared to join the legal battle being waged against the world’s largest banks for manipulating the gold and silver markets.   Good luck with that.

But even if the plaintiffs make some headway against the banks, this fight will take years to wage and it will likely do little more than provide some temporary relief from the financial market’s equivalent of pancreas cancer.

While the precious metals community engaged in a celebratory end-zone dance when Deutsche Bank admitted to malfeasance in its paper silver trading business, the insolvent bank coughed up a fine that was mere pittance of the billions it made over the years rigging the LBMA.

To make matters worse, JP Morgan was mentioned nowhere in Deutsche’s testimony.   JP Morgan has by far the largest silver vault on the Comex, with an alleged 82 million ozs in its custody.  The next largest is Brinks with 25 million.  I say “alleged” because it’s quite doubtful that a large portion of JPM’s reported holdings exists anywhere other than as an entry on its daily vault report.  Ask Germany about that…

JPM also happens to be the largest market maker in Comex silver futures, it’s part of the bank cartel that fixes the price of silver on the LBMA everyday and it’s the vault custodian of the alleged silver that is supposed to belong to the SLV trust.   Does it make sense that JP Morgan went unnamed in the Deutsche Bank confessional?   If that happens to pass your smell test then we would suggest that you blow your nose thoroughly and take another sniff.

With regard to the manipulation of precious metals, if you want to kill a snake, you have to cut off its head. Similarly, if you want to end precious metals manipulation, you need to destroy the BIS.  The directive and authority to manipulate the metals comes from the mother of all Central Banks.  JP Morgan is the BIS’ chief agent in executing the directive. Deutsche Bank was given explicit instructions to omit all references to JP Morgan from its superficial mea culpa.

Mac is correct in his assertion that systems run by Central Banks are becoming destabilized.  And he is correct in his implied assertion that this will lead to much higher precious metals prices.  Bitcoin?  Who knows?  Bitcoin is a de facto digital currency and thus yet another fictitious form of money with a computer system as its counterparty.

The problem is that as the destabilization process unfolds, the Establishment will fight back hard in an effort to maintain control.   This blow-back will be in the form of a further advancement toward Governmental totalitarianism. With the geopolitical and economic wheels beginning to fly off rails, at this point it’s fait accompli.    In today’s episode of the Shadow of Truth, we discuss the general systemic decay of the U.S. and Trump’s role as the modern day Nero: