Investment Research Products

Powered by Kranzler Research

Articles

Go Cashless – Buy Gold

It’s beginning to look like the Indian Government’s latest attempt to suppress the amount of physical gold demanded by the Indian population is going to backfire – badly. Narenda Modi’s stunning withdrawal of 500 and 1,000 rupee banknotes has caused an even greater rush to gold. According to the All India Gems and Jewelry Trade Federation, Indian gold imports jumped up to 100 tonnes in November, the highest since December 2015.

It’s becoming more apparent that Modi’s initiative is being fueled by western bankers. It is widely acknowledged that the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is directing the western paper gold manipulation scheme. Ragurham Rajan, the former head of India’s Central Bank, the Reserve Bank of India, was recently appointed Vice Chairman of the BIS. In other word’s, Modi’s move has BIS “fingerprints” all over it.

Make no mistake, the manipulated decline in the price of gold was engineered exclusively in the paper gold markets of London and New York (LBMA and Comex). China’s demand has spiked up to unprecedented levels – 131 tonnes was delivered onto the Shanghai Gold Exchange on Wednesday. In other words, between India and China alone, the demand for physically delivered gold has increased considerably.

As John Brimelow of John Brimelow’s Gold Jottings remarks, “if the Government had not sprung this stunt, stronger Indian buying [with the recent decline in the spot price of gold] would probably have stopped the [price] slide $100 higher and maybe discouraged some of the western [paper] liquidation.

One of the most glaring indicators that the price take-down has been driven by the western paper gold market is the divergence between the open interest in Comex gold futures and ETF physical gold holdings. While the open interest in gold futures is now down about 35% from its peak in early June this year, the gold holdings as reported collectively by physical gold ETFs is down only 5% from its peak. As Brimelow points out, “it was the surge in ETF [gold] outstandings in January which gave the alert that the move [in the price of gold] was serious.”

In other words, based on trading divergence between the western paper gold market and the behavior of the eastern physical bullion markets and physical ETFs, the price of gold is being controlled – for now – in the paper market.

Now is a great time to add to your physical gold and silver holdings, which is easier than it sounds with a number of gold retailers operating online such as nuggetsbygrant; click here to take a look at what’s available to buy. This price take-down is a gift from the elitists. The “shock and awe” price-hits when the Comex opens almost everyday are designed to discourage bullion buyers. In truth it reflects an increasing degree of desperation over what seems to be increasing “stress” being put on the ability of the west to supply gold into eastern demand. Trying to quash India’s demand is the easiest route because the Indian Government is a lapdog for the west.

As this effort fails, the rebound in the price of gold and silver will likely create its own “shock and awe.” In today’s episode of the Shadow of Truth, we discuss the Totalitarian movement toward a “cashless” monetary system and why accumulating gold is the best way to fight back.

A Conversation With SGT Report About The New World Order

When George H. Bush was president, I was working on Wall Street at the time as a junk bond trader. I vividly recall the rumors circulating that Bush was pedophile.  That he had a mistress was a confirmed rumor.  As it turns out, Clinton’s Oval Office was a constant revolving door of women brought in to “service” Bubba.  Rumors of deviant sexual behavior persisted during W’s presidency.  It’s no secret that W’s nickname for Karl Rove, W’s Deputy Chief of Staff and Senior Advisor, was “Turd Blossom.”

SGT Report invited to discuss the New World Order movement , which has managed to replace Rule of Law in the United States the Rule of Man.   It’s weird enough that Trump is now the president.  As we discuss, expect things to get a lot more weird going forward:

The Deep State’s Attempt To Suppress India’s Gold Demand

The primary objective of the Indian currency demonetization was to sharply reduce gold demand in the world’s most important retail market, India, one that is controlled by the Deep State oligarchy via a captured agent, its Prime Minister [Modi]. The manner in which the demonetization was carried out indicates some kind of desperation…Stewart Daugherty

Indian Demonetization Denotes Severe Stress in the Global Gold Market
By Stewart Dougherty

It is becoming clear that the Indian currency demonetization is actually a planned attack on Indian gold demand, launched to disrupt gold prices and discredit gold as an asset class. The attack was required to alleviate severe stress in the global gold market that is becoming increasingly difficult for the Deep State controllers to contain.

For two decades, physical gold has been migrating from the west to the east in increasing quantities. Numerous reports cross-confirm that the world’s leading refineries are operating at capacity to convert western gold into the kilo products demanded by Asian buyers. Refiners also confirm that the sourcing of western gold has become problematic, as supplies dry up in the face of voracious world, and particularly eastern demand.

Western central bankers and their Deep State handlers have made it clear that they intend to transition to a cashless society. However, they are not yet ready to make this transition. Therefore, their current focus is to start the process by eliminating high-denomination currency, such as Euro 500 and USD 50 and 100 notes. At the same time, they are working to digitize the payment infrastructure, a prerequisite to the elimination of cash.

Their problem is the steady awakening of the people to the disturbing implications of a cashless society, and to the assault on human liberty it represents. The Deep State oligarchs must implement their agenda before the people mobilize to prevent it from being imposed upon them.

The Deep State oligarchs understand that the western governments they commandeer are bankrupt. To continue operations, they must tap into the people’s private wealth for funding. In fact, the IMF has produced a position paper recommending a “one off capital levy of 10%” (a 10% wealth tax), to deal with western governments’ intractable fiscal problems. The authors of this paper state that the “levy” must be imposed at night and by total surprise, to prevent citizens from being able to take any steps to avoid it.

This type of ambush is exactly what just happened in India, with its shock demonetization.

The IMF’s proposal does nothing to change governments’ current trajectory of greater deficits and debt; the money raised would simply be used to service existing debt. This means the first capital levy will just be one of many going forward. Governments’ only solution is to expropriate the private wealth of the people, which is exactly what the IMF has admitted.

If people have cash and other private monetary assets outside of the banking system when the “capital levy” is imposed, governments will lose out. This is one of their primary motivations to eliminate cash: in order to maximize proceeds from the capital levy, they need the greatest possible amount of money within the banking system, in non-withdrawable, digitized form, when the levy is executed.

It is not in the interests of governments if people figure out that they are far better off being their own bankers, by privatizing their monetary assets, than handing them over to commercial bankers, who have become wards and enforcement agents of the state. Therefore, a full scale campaign is underway to demonize cash and to make precious metals appear dangerous by routinely pulverizing their prices.

In the meantime, supplies of physical metals in the west constantly diminished and are now strained. This means that the bullion banks’ LBMA and Comex paper price suppression activities must steadily escalate for them to maintain control of a market that is spinning out of their control. Unlike eastern investors, western investors tend to buy into rising prices, as they chase momentum. Rising prices can lead to a buying stampede. If a buying stampede were to break out in today’s supply-stressed precious metals market, prices would surge, which would be antithetical to the Deep State oligarchs’ agenda.

Given that Deep State operatives can do nothing to increase western gold supply, their only options are to somehow discover supply elsewhere, and/or to crush gold demand. But could the gold supply be closer than they think? With the help of a metal detector and a gold pan kit, (click here to learn more), they will be able to uncover the depths of their mines with the hope that they are rewarded with the gold supply that they are desperately craving for.

The “somehow” is India, a nation whose people possess an estimated 20,000 tons of gold, and who buy hundreds more tons of it each year. Prime Minister Modi, the Deep State establishment’s captured and controlled facilitator, has been instructed to obtain supply and control demand of gold in India, and he has been working overtime to achieve both objectives ever since his election.

First, Modi launched a Paper Gold scheme, whereby the Indian people were urged to tender their personal gold holdings to the state, in exchange for “notes” and “bonds” paying less-than-inflation interest rates on the value of the gold they provided. The notes are irredeemable for gold for at least five years, by which time the gold will be long gone from India and used in the bullion banks’ market rigging and other for-profit operations. Modi’s Paper Gold scheme failed, because the Indian people did not trust it, and correctly so.

Next, Modi imposed a 10% import duty on gold (India produces next to no gold, so virtually all of it is imported). This resulted in a multi-week strike by jewelers, which did reduce demand, one of the two aims of the Deep State oligarchs’ plan.

But shortly, this scheme failed, too, because gold smuggling surged, enabling the Indian people to obtain the gold they desire at prices roughly 5% over global spot, reasonable in the circumstances.

In a companion effort to crimp demand, Modi enacted a special reporting regulation. Enacted in 2015, it requires anyone purchasing jewelry or precious metals having a value of 200,000 rupees or more (the equivalent of roughly US$ 2,900) to present an Indian PAN Card. PAN stands for Permanent Account Number, a ten digit alpha-numeric number issued by India’s Tax Department to individuals and businesses. The PAN enables tax personnel to track all of a card holder’s financial transactions over their entire lifetime.

Only 17% of India’s population have obtained a PAN number to date, meaning that 83% of the population are unable to purchase $2,900 or more worth of jewelry or bullion in a single transaction; without a PAN Card, it is illegal to do so. This regulation has reduced jewelry and bullion purchases by upscale Indians who do have PAN but do not want their personal transactions permanently recorded. Alternatively, it has led them to make smaller purchases that do not require presentation of a PAN Card.

While the PAN regulation curbed demand in the $3,000+, high end of the market, it did nothing to address the vibrant, lower end, cash market. Smaller purchases of jewelry and bullion have traditionally been paid in cash, using 500 and 1,000 rupee currency notes. This was the Deep State’s Achilles’ heel in India, and they decided to deal with it.

Accordingly, on November 8, 2016, in a shock move, Modi “extinguished” all Indian 500 and 1000 rupee notes. Holders of the old notes have been required to exchange them for new ones, but the process has been extremely difficult and time consuming. Further, there are sharp restrictions on the amount of new currency citizens can obtain. Withdrawals are capped at 40,000 rupees per week, roughly $575.00. After paying for living expenses (90% of Indian purchases are made with cash), very little is left over for discretionary purchases such as gold jewelry. Given that the demonetization was specifically timed to occur in the middle of the robust festival and wedding season, the reduction in demand has been pronounced. Jewelers in Mumbai, the nation’s largest retail market by far, report sales being off by up to 90%.

We believe that the primary objective of the Indian currency demonetization was to sharply reduce gold demand in the world’s most important retail market, India, one that is controlled by the Deep State oligarchy via a captured agent, its Prime Minister. The manner in which the demonetization was carried out indicates some kind of desperation, because it defied all economic prudence, logic, humanitarian regard and common sense. India is the only country where this kind of attack on demand could have been carried out, and this is why it occurred there. It indicates to us that the bullion banking cabal is coming up against the wall, and that there is severe supply – demand stress in the global gold market that is rapidly becoming non-containable. Desperate times are producing desperate measures by the manipulators.

It is critical to note that the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India up until mid-2016, Raghuram Rajan, declined a second three year term. Rajan was a former Chief Economist at the International Monetary Fund, the “capital levy” people. He is also a member of the Group of Thirty, along with Larry Summers, the head cheerleader for the elimination of one hundred dollar bills in the United States, and cash in general. Much more important, Rajan has now become Vice Chairman of the Bank for International Settlements, the so-called “central bank of central banks,” and long regarded as the chief architect and enabler of global gold manipulation and price oppression. He has been characterized in the press as being “a vocal votary for increased coordination among central banks.” Clearly, an important Deep State global agenda is now in play.

Brexit and the Trump victory have demonstrated that the people can only be pushed so far, but the Deep State oligarchs are far too addicted to easy money and god-like power to hear the message. They are pushing forward as if nothing whatsoever has changed in the world. The retention by the people of financial liberty is far more important to them than Brexit or Trump, and we believe they will defend their rights to it, particularly as they awaken to the full implications of the tyranny that will be unleashed by its elimination.

As demand rebuilds from the shock demand reduction that has occurred in India, we believe the market for precious metals will become stronger than ever. First, India has discredited governments’ prized monopoly product: fiat currency. Second, India’s demonetization-related gold demand shock has no effect whatsoever on demand from Russia, China and the rest of Asia, which is stronger than ever. Third, the fiscal and monetary realities of governments throughout the west continue to worsen, strengthening the already compelling case for precious metals. Fourth, and as we have pointed out in previous articles, supply cannot withstand even a fractional redeployment of liquid personal assets into metals, without prices being forced significantly higher than where they are today. And fifth, the bullion banks and Deep State schemers are running out of curve balls to throw at the people. In fact, the stunt they just pulled in India might be their last, at least of anywhere near this magnitude. While we put nothing past them, including desperate dumping of remaining western central bank metals holdings (which might not even exist at this late stage) and prohibitions that the people will realize they must ignore if they are to have any chance of remaining financially free, it seems clear to us that they are fast running out of options.

Stewart Dougherty
November 28, 2016

P.S. One additional inference we draw from events in India is that it almost certainly proves the United States gold reserve is gone. What has happened in India indicates that a critical supply – demand imbalance exists in gold, which required an unprecedented, draconian and reckless “solution.” Actually, it has solved nothing; it has only bought the oligarchs some time, and probably not much of it. If western, and particularly U.S. gold reserves had been available, they almost certainly would have been deployed before a massive, destructive currency demonetization in the world’s second largest nation, by population, would have been ordered.

Stewart Dougherty is the creator of Inferential Analytics (IA), a forecasting method that applies to events proprietary, time-tested principles of human instinct, desire and action. In his view, forecasting methods not fundamentally based upon principles of human action are unlikely to be reliable over time. He is a graduate of Tufts University (BA) and Harvard Business School (MBA), is a 35+ year veteran of the business trenches and has developed IA over a period of 15+ years.

Black Friday, Fake News And Gold

Black Friday and “Black Friday” weekend have largely become irrelevant.  Every retailer in the U.S., from auto dealers to furniture stores to online tennis apparel shops have been advertising “Black Friday” sales since November 1st.

We have no doubt that the Census Bureau will concoct phony holiday sales for November (reported December 14) and December (reported in January).   But the truth – the non-Russian influenced truth – is that retail sales spending per capita this holiday on an inflation-adjusted basis is going to be less than in 2015.

Already the National Retail Federation has announced that spending per person over Thanksgiving weekend was $289.19, down 3.4% from $299.60 last year.  Gallup released a survey of shoppers and determined that Americans intend to spend an average of $752 on holiday gifts this year, down from $830 in 2015.   Gallup, looking for a “silver lining” in the survey, stated that this matches the average for the last seven years since 2010.  Of course Gallup fails to note that on an inflation-adjusted basis, the number for 2016 would be significantly below the average.

Turning to the “fake news” witch hunt, Gallup blames the results above on unseasonally warm weather.  This is a perfect example of propagandized fake news.   The average household is spending less money this year because the real median household income is lower now than in 2007.  Consumers faced higher gasoline prices in October and November which cut into disposable spending budgets, as well as facing the prospect of huge increases in their health insurance premiums.

The establishment has implemented a full-court press in the hunt for “fake news” purveyors.  This is the clearest sign that the alternative media bloggers have touched the raw nerve of truth and the elitists do not like it.   The latest attempt is from Jeff Bezos’ Washington Post, which featured an organization called PropOrNot, which purports to use “manual and automated” analysis to determine that several hundred Alternative Media websites were “Russian propaganda outlets.”

If the Washington Post is reporting it, it must be authentic, right?  The truth is that this is nothing more than the rebirth of Joseph McCarthy’s 1950’s communist witch hunt – the Red Scare.   “McCarthyism” is defined as, “the practice of making accusations of subversion or treason without proper regard for evidence.”   It also means “the practice of making unfair allegations or using unfair investigative techniques, especially in order to restrict dissent or political criticism.

In truth, the U.S. Government is the biggest purveyor of fake news in an effort to control the flow of information made available to the masses and to coerce their perception of reality.  It’s yet another form and implementation of insidious propaganda in a manner quite similar to the use of propaganda by the Nazi Party.

Finally, there are many indications that the systematic and methodical take-down of the precious metals sector since mid-August has reached its limits.  Today, for example, the mining stocks experienced big rally on huge volume.  The volume in many stocks was triple the 10 and 90-day average volumes.

In today’s episode of the Shadow of Truth, we dissect some of the important events as they unfolded over the long Thanksgiving weekend and explain why we think gold has bottomed:

The Fake News Witch Hunt: McCarthy’s Red Scare Redux

“Good night and good luck.” – Edward R. Murrow

The Washington Post – I should say, Jeff Bezos’ Washington Post – ran an article last week which featured a report from an organization called “PropOrNot” which claims it used “a combination of manual and automated analysis…in order to identify (“red flag”) [actual quote from the site, verbatim] the following as Russian propaganda outlets.”

Hmmm…”red flag” as in, “Red Scare?”  In what is a bona fide rebirth of McCarthyism, PropOrNot claims to be “an independent team of concerned American citizens with a wide range of backgrounds and expertise” that is currently “volunteering time and skills to identify propaganda – particularly Russian propaganda…”

Seriously, is this some kind of joke?  Is this the same group of “professionals” who devise the “seasonal adjustments” used to brew up Government economic reports?   Has anyone vetted this organization?  Apparently Jeff Bezos is unable to answer any of those questions or, as a responsible purveyor of “independent” journalism he would have dispelled these questions by disclosing the credibility of this group up front.

You’ll note that I specifically single out Jeff Bezos.   Bezos was quietly appointed by the Secretary of Defense to the Defense Innovation Advisory Board in July.    The Board was formed in March 2016 to “focus on new technologies and organizational behavior and culture.”  The Board has been asked to  “identify innovative private-sector practices and technological solutions that the DoD could employ in the future.”

Clearly this is straight out of Orwell’s playbook.  It has behavioral modification and thought control seeping from every pore.  It is a Deep State operation and Jeff Bezos is now part of the Deep State fabric.

This is Orwell’s Thought Police.    The new “advisory board” is headed up by Google’s Eric Schmidt.  Recall that right after the primaries if you typed “Presidential election” in a Google search bar the first item that popped up was picture of Hillary Clinton standing in front of the Presidential seal.   It was eventually removed.

This blog was listed as one of the 200 websites that “reliably echo Russian propaganda.” I’m quite honored to be listed among many of the well-respected sites on “the list.”   Several readers emailed me to say that “you must doing something right” to be included on that ridiculously absurd “Red Scare” list.

The two gentlemen who should be most offended are David Stockman and Dr. Paul Craig Roberts,  both of whom stick out prominently on the list.  Stockman and Dr. Roberts are former high-level Government officials.  Both were, among a long list of prestigious and patriotic accomplishments, members of Reagan’s Cabinet.  The accusation that they are conduits for Russian “fake news” is not only absurdly idiotic, it’s libelous terrorism.

This development is yet another move down that slippery-slope to Totalitarianism on which the United States Government is sliding.  In the 1950’s a Senator named Joseph McCarthy implemented a raging Congressional witch-hunt for “communists.”  The inquisition featured more than a month of televised hearings that began looking for communists in Government.  For over two years McCarthy was allowed to conduct inquisitions which extended beyond Washington DC and which eventually pointed the finger at prominent writers and famous Hollywood personalities.  He singularly destroyed highly successful people in all areas of society.   It was an absolute tragedy and a complete disgrace to this country.

Fortunately, Edward R. Murrow featured a report that undermined McCarthy’s Red Scare witch hunt.  McCarty was eventually censored by the Senate and, even more fortunately, died in 1957.

Unfortunately, American journalism no longer has the likes of an Edward R. Murrow – or even Woodward and Bernstein.  Corporatism and the Deep State has succeeded in eradicating unbiased and truthful mainstream journalism.   The Alternative Media – like the sites featured on the PropOrNot Red Scare list – represent a bona fide attempt to present the truth to the public.

I predict this PropOrNot movement, sponsored by the likes of Jeff Bezos and Eric Schmidt, is going to succeed in shutting down the one ray of hope left for this country.   Jeff Bezos’ Washington Post has taken the lead in this modern version of a McCarthyism “witch hunt” and the WashPo exemplifies the amount of political power and wealth being directed at suffocating the truth.   It is Orwell’s playbook unfolding in front of us.

Good night and good luck.

The U.S. Government Pollinates “Fake News”

The widespread, systematic implementation of propaganda dates back to at least the World War 1 era when Edward Bernays – the nephew of Sigmund Freud and the Father of Propaganda – began working with Woodrow Wilson. The dissemination and proliferation of “fake news” for the purpose of “thought control” is a form a fascism that is seeded in the Totalitarian creep that is engulfing the U.S. political system.

The commentary published by John Whitehead of the The Rutherford Institute is a must-read in order to put the “fake news” problem into its proper context.

[T]the “news” we receive is routinely manufactured, manipulated and made-to-order by government agents. Not when six corporations control 90% of the media in America. And not when, as Davies laments, “news organizations which might otherwise have exposed the truth were themselves part of the abuse, and so they kept silent, indulging in a comic parody of misreporting, hiding the emerging scandal from their readers like a Victorian nanny covering the children’s eyes from an accident in the street.”

The Pentagon has now designated “information operations” as its fifth “core competency” alongside land, sea, air and special forces. Since October 2006, every brigade, division and corps in the US military has had its own “psyop” element producing output for local media. This military activity is linked to the State Department’s campaign of “public diplomacy” which includes funding radio stations and news websites.

You can read the rest of this here:  When It Comes To Fake News, The Government Is The Biggest Culprit

The manipulation of economic data and the markets is yet another insidious form of propaganda and implementation of political/economic control.  I’ve detailed ad nauseum evidence of the fraudulent economic data across a wide range of Government reports – employment, GDP, housing, inflation, etc.

This is going to get worse regardless of who or which party occupies the White House.  It’s about control and power.  Ultimately the Government has no control over the laws of economics.  When the majority of the population feels the pain of economic distress in spite of the misleadingly optimistic economic reports, the Government has no choice but to implement control policies in order to maintain its power.

There is nothing we can do about this but you can prepare accordingly if you at least recognize the truth.  If you want to see who this plays out, I would suggest re-reading “1984” and “Atlas Shrugged.”

Gold and Monetary Populism: The Oligarchs’ Mortal Enemies – The Peoples’ Salvation

Desperation is setting in. The blatant attacks on gold are occurring almost exclusively during the Comex floor-trading hours now. Every night gold pushes higher as Asia’s appetite is seemingly voracious. The two most systemically dangerous banks right now, it was revealed according to the IMF, are JP Morgan and Citibank. I’m sure part of the smash is in response to that. All this action between gold and the dollar means is that the counter-force reaction to what the Fed is doing is going to be even more forceful. They already can’t control the dollar and the strong dollar is going to decimate Q4 revenues and earnings. Give it 6 months and I bet they start talking about the need to print more money. Gold will sniff that out well ahead of time.

Stewart Dougherty has provided another guest post for IRD. I think this is his best commentary yet.

The people hold in their hands the key that can unlock the door to financial independence and steadily increasing wealth, but they do not realize it. An obvious truth, being clear, is the hardest thing for people to see. They look right through it, as though it were not there, even though it is. Once they do see a truth, they never overlook it again. It becomes an invaluable fixture of their thinking.

Like the adult elephant taught from youth that the light chain around its leg cannot be broken, the people believe that the strangulating government currency chain around their necks is unbreakable. The fact is that if the grown elephant pressures the chain, it will snap, setting him free. The people, too, have the power to break the currency chain that chokes them and reclaim their financial freedom from the plunderers who have usurped it, if only they would study, understand and act.

The key to which we refer is private money, the most important forms of which are physical gold and silver. Cash is another, albeit greatly inferior form, in that currencies (not technically money) are controlled by their issuers. Global Deep State efforts to restrict or even eliminate the people’s ability to possess private money are now rampant, and running into resistance. Denied the ability to possess private money in the form and quantity they desire, the people will be deprived of financial freedom, and in the end, given that freedom is indivisible, any freedom at all.

Given the oligarchs’ clear, unmistakable intention to deprive the citizens of financial freedom, the people now have not just a financial, but a moral obligation to redenominate a portion of their liquid assets into private money. The people need to tell the Oligarchy in clear terms that they have gone too far, and will not be going any farther.

There are 7,000,000,000,000 people on this earth. There are fewer than 5,300,000,000 troy ounces of gold. If every person were allotted an equal share, each could possess 0.76 troy ounces of gold. In that gold can only be mined, and not printed by Deep State oligarchs, this sum is projected to remain consistent going forward, and may even shrink if mining cannot keep up with population growth.

The actual ownership of gold is vastly skewed. Fewer than one billion troy ounces of physical gold worldwide are thought to be potentially available to the market, in current circumstances. This is not gold actually offered at this time, but that could be offered to the market if the selling climate were opportune and owners decided to sell. The other 4,300,000,000 ounces are believed to be immobile, at least for now, and include government reserves, non-trading private reserves, and forms of jewelry that are highly unlikely to be sold unless people’s personal or financial circumstances significantly change. People do not sell their wedding rings or other jewelry having deep sentimental value unless there is a pressing reason to do so.

This means that there are perhaps 1,000,000,000 ounces of gold available to 7,000,000,000 people. Put another way, 1,000,000,000 ounces are available to what is estimated to be well more than $200,000,000,000,000.00 in net private wealth. Which translates into 0.143 available ounces per person; and total available gold amounting to only 0.65% of total global private wealth, at a price of $1,300 per ounce. If a low single-digit percentage of the people or the private wealth decided to mobilize into gold, where would the gold come from? The answer is: from radically higher prices, because that is the only place it can come from. We wonder, what is it about these numbers that the people cannot see? The conclusion is: the obvious, which is the hardest thing for them to see. Gold is so rare, and demand for it so potentially overwhelming that it is literally ridiculous it sells at today’s price. Yes, the “Great Oz” of price manipulation and corruption continues to hold sway for now, but Toto is sniffing him out and zeroing in. He is going to find the curtain and pull it back, and then all hell is going to break loose, because the current price of gold is a colossal fraud and lie. An historic price reset is inevitable.

At its core, gold’s price is not a Deep State oligarchy manipulation problem, even though we know for a fact that the oligarchs totally dominate and rig the precious metals market to manufacture fraudulent profits for themselves while advancing a corrupt, statist narrative to assist their government puppets.

Gold’s absurd price is, in fact, a marketing problem. The gold mining industry has been singularly incompetent when it comes to marketing its precious product. The gold industry has not produced one original marketing idea in 250 years, and gold’s current price proves it. Once people’s eyes are opened to gold’s unparalleled virtues as private, personal money, everything is going to change, most notably, its price, which is going to surge out of fundamental necessity.

Brexit and the Trump victory reflect a rising populist tide in the west. The people are saying that they want to take back their countries and their lives. We believe that the same type of popular anger and dissatisfaction that has produced the sharp and ongoing political reset in the west is likely to erupt next in the field of currency and money. The populist movement was fomented in the first place by people who had become disgusted by constant financial regression and the real prospect of and trajectory toward eventual impoverishment. Their sentiments have set the stage for a populist monetary revolution. A determined segment of the people, those who still have liquid assets, is going to figure out that now is an excellent time for them to take back their money. They are going to say it’s time to “drain the monetary swamp” of its Wall Street swindlers and central bank fakers, escape the financial tyranny of zero interest rates, and return to ancient money that is rare, possesses intrinsic value, is beautiful and is virtually certain to appreciate.

For the oligarchs, it is one thing if the people want to take back their countries; it is an entirely different, and totally unacceptable thing if they want to take back their money. The control of national currencies, money supplies and interest rates has been the Deep State oligarchs’ secret preserve and heavily protected “No Go” zone for decades. Their domination of this preserve has enabled them to mint phenomenal amounts of, guaranteed, risk-free profits; profits not measured in the millions or billions, but in the trillions of dollars. To the oligarchs, monetary populism means war. Which now rages, even though most people don’t yet know it.

To combat monetary populism, the oligarchs have launched a War on Private Savings. To put the monetary genie back in the bottle, they need to herd the people’s liquid funds into institutions they control. Now that they can clearly see the whites of the people’s eyes, as the populist sentiment spreads into finance, they have put their actions into overdrive. They need to defeat monetary populism before it becomes a “movement,” which it has every potential of doing.

The War on Private Savings is the largest conflict ever declared in the history of mankind. It is different from all other wars because: it is being fought against humanity, not a national or political enemy; it is global; it is being waged with trickeries, lies, schemes, propaganda, prohibitions and demonetizations, not military weapons; it is synchronized; it targets personal, after-tax savings, not a country’s natural resources, geography, government or political leaders; it has been declared by a non-elected Oligarchy; it is about contempt for freedom; and its ultimate objective is about one thing and one thing only: the conquest of other people’s money.

The War on Private Savings, while massive in itself, is actually part of a larger conflict, the War on Human Freedom. While human freedom has been under attack in various ways since the dawn of mankind, it has never faced such a concerted, coordinated, massively well-funded attack as the one now declared against it by the Deep State oligarchs. If the initiators of the War on Private Savings win, the real casualty will be human freedom, because there can be no human freedom if there is no financial liberty. The stakes of this war for the people are impossible to overstate.

India has been turned into a 1.3 billion person human laboratory for the advanced research, development and testing of the weapons to be used in the full-scale, global War on Private Savings. The weapons that prove successful in India will then be used on other people in other nations throughout the world. What happens in India is a global prologue of what is yet to come.

The term “War on Cash” is a deliberately misleading misnomer. It is merely one act in a much more sweeping drama. There is no war on cash; there is an attack on cash. The attack on cash is just one of the many battles within the much larger War on Private Savings. We can now observe a rapidly intensifying, synchronized, global effort to demonize, control and eliminate cash in Australia; Europe, especially the Nordic countries; the United States; India; and virtually everywhere in between. The War on Private Savings is strategic; cash controls are tactical. The oligarchs want you to focus on the tactic, not the full strategy. You don’t want to fall for that.

In addition to the attack on cash, other tactics currently being used in and planned for the War on Private Savings include: 1) Low and negative interest rates that are less than the rate of inflation and therefore rob savers; 2) Civil asset forfeitures; 3) The explosion of government regulations accompanied by confiscatory fines; 4) Across the board tax increases; 5) The creation of entirely new tax categories (e.g., Obamacare; carbon taxes) that pile onto but never streamline or reduce existing tax structures; 6) The intense manipulation of precious metals prices, resulting in artificially low prices that lessen savings; 7) Endemic corruption resulting in increased consumer costs and national debt that must be borne by the people (e.g., Medicare; Medicaid; Military (for example, the $6 Trillion in unaccounted-for Army spending, alone, all of which is now constitutes additional national debt); 8) Massive, structural government deficits that heap even more non-repayable debt upon the people; 8) Open borders, which spike the cost and deficits of government, which are similarly borne by the people and nationally impoverishing; 9) Deliberately engineered inflation that devalues national currencies and savings; 10) Outright demonetizations and forced conversions of currencies, with massive attendant costs, a new weapon that has been rolled out in India; to name just a few examples of the existing and emerging weapons being used against the people in the War on Private Savings.

To sum up the situation, we believe that: 1) Populism is spreading into the Forbidden Zone of currency and money; 2) To prevent Monetary Populism from becoming a “movement” that they cannot contain, the Deep State Oligarchs have declared a War on Private Savings, as part of a larger conflict, a War on Human Liberty; 3) Precious metals, particularly gold, are an extraordinarily powerful weapon in the hands of the people, and one that can defeat the Oligarchs’ oppressive, anti-humanitarian campaign, but only if the people take up the weapon en masse, and soon; 4) The Deep State oligarchs are fully aware of the threat posed to them by the weapon of private money wielded by the people, which is why they are attacking; 5) If, through simple messaging, the people’s eyes are opened to the unique capability of precious metals to restore to them the financial stability, freedom and dignity that are rightfully theirs, no less than their other constitutionally guaranteed rights, they will embrace this obvious solution in large numbers, ensuring their victory. In the process, monetary populism will be transformed from a sentiment into a powerful, invincible movement.

In our next article, we will discuss the simple ways by which the managements of publicly traded precious metals mining companies can ignite demand for and price escalation of their product, as is required by their fiduciary obligation to shareholders.

Stewart Dougherty
November 22, 2106

Stewart Dougherty is the developer of a principles-based forecasting methodology named Inferential Analytics. The unique IA model assesses monetary, fiscal, financial, market, social, political, empirical and anecdotal factors to get a glimpse of tomorrow, today. He has 35 years’ worth of management, corporate strategy and business development achievement. He is a graduate of Tufts University (MA) and Harvard Business School (MBA).

Trump Is Already Betraying His Voters

Posted from St. Martin (the French side, of course!).  I kind of expected this to happen, as close friends and colleagues can attest.  Trump is not only NOT going “drain the swamp,” he’s populating it with a different breed of swamp monster.   His choice for AG is a red-neck, right-wing senator from Alabama who, 80 years ago, would have been a member of the inner circle of the Third Reich.  Ditto for the names that have been floated for Secretary of State.  As for Treasury Secretary, the names floated for the position bear the unmistakable mark of the Wall Street beast:  $6$6$6.  They are every bit as vile,  if not worse, than the thieves that moved through there the last 12 years.  Jamie Dimon?  Steve Mnuchin?  Give me an F-ing break.

It is what it is.  Out with the old, in with new old.   James Kunstler penned another epic post that deserves a thorough perusal:

For all practical purposes, both traditional parties have blown themselves up. The Democratic Party morphed from the party of thinking people to the party of the thought police, and for that alone they deserve to be flushed down the soil pipe of history where the feckless Whigs went before them. The Republicans have floundered in their own Special Olympics of the Mind for decades, too, so it’s understandable that they have fallen hostage to such a rank outsider as Trump, so cavalier with the party’s dumb-ass shibboleths. It remains to be seen whether the party becomes a vengeful, hybrid monster with an orange head, or a bridge back to reality. I give the latter outcome a low percentage chance.

For the rest of this, click here:  Boo Hoo – America Didn’t Get What It Expected

The stock market continued a stunning move higher last week despite evidence of
widespread financial market turmoil signaled by the bond and currency markets globally.
With evidence mounting everyday that the U.S. economy continues to deteriorate, the
behavior of the U.S. stock market can only be explained as being a product of the enormous pool of liquidity created by the Fed – printed money plus rampant credit availability – that piled into any and all stocks moving higher. This will ultimately turn into a momentum move in the other direction that will inflict serious damage on the system.   – Excerpt from the latest Short Seller’s Journal

 

Mint Suspends Silver Eagle Production – 2008 Redux?

Silver Doctors invited me on their weekly Metals & Markets program to discuss notable events unfolding in the physical precious metals markets, the meaning of the Mint suspending 2016 silver eagle production several weeks earlier than normal, the bond market blood bath and other market occurrences that are eerily similar to events which unfolded before the 2008 de facto financial market collapse.

IRD is featuring an extraordinarily undervalued gold producer in its next issue of the Mining Stock Journal (out tomorrow). The previous issue featured a sell recommendation that might surprise those who own this particular stock. It also contained trading ideas on some high quality larger cap mining stocks that will bounce back quickly when this latest take-down of the precious metals market passes (likely this week). You can subscribe to the Mining Stock Journal with this link – MSJ Subscription. All of the back-issues are included (email delivery-based).

mining-stock-journal-header-border

Physical Gold Buying Soars In Asia

Gold was pushing $1230/oz overnight, as the methodical take-down of gold and silver in the NYC and London paper markets has triggered an avalanche of demand for physical gold in the eastern hemisphere.

Last night ex-duty import premiums in India were $14 over spot gold.  In Shanghai the premium to world gold was $9.76.  Delivery volume into the Shanghai Gold Exchange rocketed to an extraordinary 86.55 tonnes (it was 35.9 tonnes on Wednesday).  The open interest on the SGE was 807 tonnes.  To one observer’s recollection, John Brimelow of John Brimelow’s Gold Jottings, this is the first time the open interest has been over 800 tonnes.

In Viet Nam the premium paid by the public was $90 over world gold.  The spread has been wider over the last 15 years, but not much and only during times when there’s been high “backwardation” between the physical delivery bullion markets in the east vs. the fraudulent paper gold markets in London and NYC.

To reinforce this nebulous idea of gold flowing from west to east, and unusually high amount of gold was shipped out of the Comex kilo bar vaults yesterday.  320,434 ozs left the Comex.  Over 12,000 kilobars have left JP Morgan’s kilobar vault account in the last two days.  This is being attributed as evidence of Asia’s voracious demand right now, as NY and London – when those two conduits actually clear real metal – trade 400oz LBMA grade bars whereas Asia prefers kilobars.

The price of gold is being attacked right now in a manner that is quite reminiscent of the way it was attacked in the summer of 2008, right before the global financial markets collapsed, led by the fall of Lehman.

Something really ugly is coming toward the global economic and financial system.   The dollar index soared from 72 to 86 between June 2008 and October 2008, while gold and silver were systematically taken a lot lower.   We know how that played.

Similarly, the dollar has gone parabolic in the last week without any visible news or events that would have triggered this move.   Too be sure, if Trump implements his borrow and spend program for infrastructure projects, the Fed will have to print a lot of money to monetize the avalanche of Treasury debt issuance, given that the rest of the world is now dumping their Treasuries.

Both of those factors should be dollar-bearish and gold-bullish.  In good time that’s how this will play out.

In the latest episode of the Shadow of Truth, we discuss the extraordinary “backwardation” that has developed in the price of gold between the west and the east.  We also discuss evidence of the ongoing collapse in the U.S. economy.