Tag Archives: fake news

Fake Economic News + Overvalued Stocks = Recipe For Market Disaster

Think you know what will happen this year?  What would you have said to me on January 1st last year if I told you:  ” the S&P 500 would hit several new all-time years this year and Donald Trump will be elected President?”

Craig “Turd Ferguson” Hemke invited me on to his “A2A” webinar with his subscribers last week.  We had a spirited and (I think) entertaining discussion about abundance of fake economic news that permeates the financial media, the true state of the U.S. economy and the growing risks to the stock market.  And of course we chatted about precious metals an mining stocks.

And of course his subscribers had some interesting and thought-provoking questions. You can listen to our conversation here:  A2A with Dave Kranzler and you can access Turd’s webite here:  TFMetals Report.

Trump Fiddles While The United States Burns

If history is any guide, global changes of this magnitude mean that the entrenched systems run by central banks and Deep State politics are set to be destabilized on a level we may have not witnessed in our lifetimes, which means assets like bitcoin, gold, and silver could become the safe havens of choice for investors.  – Mac Slavo, SHTFplan.com

Mac’s comment above was in response to the news that First Majestic CEO, Keith Neumeyer, is prepared to join the legal battle being waged against the world’s largest banks for manipulating the gold and silver markets.   Good luck with that.

But even if the plaintiffs make some headway against the banks, this fight will take years to wage and it will likely do little more than provide some temporary relief from the financial market’s equivalent of pancreas cancer.

While the precious metals community engaged in a celebratory end-zone dance when Deutsche Bank admitted to malfeasance in its paper silver trading business, the insolvent bank coughed up a fine that was mere pittance of the billions it made over the years rigging the LBMA.

To make matters worse, JP Morgan was mentioned nowhere in Deutsche’s testimony.   JP Morgan has by far the largest silver vault on the Comex, with an alleged 82 million ozs in its custody.  The next largest is Brinks with 25 million.  I say “alleged” because it’s quite doubtful that a large portion of JPM’s reported holdings exists anywhere other than as an entry on its daily vault report.  Ask Germany about that…

JPM also happens to be the largest market maker in Comex silver futures, it’s part of the bank cartel that fixes the price of silver on the LBMA everyday and it’s the vault custodian of the alleged silver that is supposed to belong to the SLV trust.   Does it make sense that JP Morgan went unnamed in the Deutsche Bank confessional?   If that happens to pass your smell test then we would suggest that you blow your nose thoroughly and take another sniff.

With regard to the manipulation of precious metals, if you want to kill a snake, you have to cut off its head. Similarly, if you want to end precious metals manipulation, you need to destroy the BIS.  The directive and authority to manipulate the metals comes from the mother of all Central Banks.  JP Morgan is the BIS’ chief agent in executing the directive. Deutsche Bank was given explicit instructions to omit all references to JP Morgan from its superficial mea culpa.

Mac is correct in his assertion that systems run by Central Banks are becoming destabilized.  And he is correct in his implied assertion that this will lead to much higher precious metals prices.  Bitcoin?  Who knows?  Bitcoin is a de facto digital currency and thus yet another fictitious form of money with a computer system as its counterparty.

The problem is that as the destabilization process unfolds, the Establishment will fight back hard in an effort to maintain control.   This blow-back will be in the form of a further advancement toward Governmental totalitarianism. With the geopolitical and economic wheels beginning to fly off rails, at this point it’s fait accompli.    In today’s episode of the Shadow of Truth, we discuss the general systemic decay of the U.S. and Trump’s role as the modern day Nero:

Fake News Alert: Existing Home Sales Report

I’m going to have to throw a flag on the existing home sales report for November published today by the National Association of Realtors.    The NAR would have us believe that home sales occurred in November at 5.6mm annualized rate for the month, up 15.4% from November 2015 and up .7% from October.   I will point out that, of course, the orignal report for October was revised lower.  But who pays attention to those details?

Take a look at this graphic sourced from Zerohedge which shows existing home sales plotted vs mortgage applications back to 2013:

I hate to be cynical, or accuse anyone of presenting “fake news,” but the mortgage application data completely contradicts the NAR’s “seasonally adjusted, annualized rate” interpretation of the data it collected. Existing home sales are based on closings (escrow clears), which means the sales report for November is based on contracts signed primarily from October and some in late Sept/early November. But mortgage applications began dropping off a cliff in late August. Clearly the NAR’s seasonal adjustment interpretation of the data is highly suspect.

Looking at the data itself  – LINK – you’ll note that the NAR’s data sampling shows that home sales dropped 6.7% from October.  Yet, it’s “seasonal adjustments” suggest that home sales increased from October to November, despite a massive plunge in mortgage applications during the period in which contracts would have been signed for November closings.

I’ve emailed the NAR several times over the years to have them explain their seasonal adjustments calculus.  Every time I am politely declined.  I will note that they use the same regression analysis model used by the Census Bureau.

The annual rate for a particular month represents what the total number of sales for a year would be if the relative pace for that month were maintained for 12 consecutive months. Seasonal adjustments, which are determined by using the X-12 Variant created by the Census Bureau, are then used to factor out seasonal variances in resale activity.

They do at least disclose that, although, if anything, that fact detracts from the credibility of their calculations.  Of course, if I were looking for credibility, I would not advertise that I use the statistical guesstimate package created by the Government…

I would suggest that a year from now, anyone who looks back at the data produced today by the NAR will discover that the number was revised lower by a significant amount.  But who looks at revisions?  The Government and industry promotion organizations know this.  It doesn’t matter how far off the rails their initial “seasonally adjusted” data strays, as long as they revise them at some point in the future, when no one is looking, it gives them plausible deniability if they are ever held accountable.

In the next issue of the Short Seller’s Journal, I’m going to present a comprehensive analysis on the housing market and the damage already inflicted on it from a 1% rise in mortgage rates.  Despite the fact that S&P and Dow have been pushing all-time highs almost on a daily basis, the DJ Home Construction index is down over 11% from its July 52-week high.  I will show why in this next issue.  You can access more information and subscribe to the SSJ using this link:  Short Seller’s Journal.

 

No Really, The Russians Hacked Us

Hillary and her supporters have vehemently asserted that “seventeen intelligence agencies” agree with the assessment that Russia hacked the election. It might be greater news to the American people to hear that there actually are seventeen such agencies out there. Perhaps Mrs. Clinton or Mr. Obama might explain exactly what they are beyond the CIA, the FBI, the DIA, the NSA, and DHS. Personally, I feel less secure knowing that there are so many additional surveillance services sifting through everybody’s digital debris trail.  – James Kunstler, “Deep State Blues

The public voted with its wallet and truthseeking data reveals that in any election in which the growth in average household real disposable income is less than 3.1%, the incumbent party loses the White House.  The study goes back to the 1932 election.  Real disposable income growth was well below 3.1% in 2016 and the Democrats lost the White House.  It’s really as simple as that, for the most part.

In addition, enough of the voting public determined that, with the help of the Wikileak emails, Hillary Clinton could not be trusted.  In fact, the Wikileak oeuvre revealed that the entire Democratic Party was indefatigably corrupt.  At the root of this corruption is the Clinton Foundation.  But beyond that it was discovered that, among other atrocities, the DNC conspired to rig the Democratic Primary against Bernie Sanders and the current DNC Chairman, Donna Brazile, slipped debate questions to Hillary ahead of the debates.

The reaction to this by the mainstream media, largely conduits of pro-Clinton propaganda, the DNC and Hillary is to blame the Wikileak truth revelations on the Russians.  As a result, the generic fake news meme regarding the election results has turned into “the Russians hacked us.”

All this mind you in an utterly complete void of proof.  Where’s the proof?  None of Hillary’s supposed intelligence agencies can produce one shred of evidence that points to Russian email hacking.   Show us the money.  Please.   Lost in this entire Orwellian fog of lies is the bare truth, for all to see.  If the Wikileak emails revealed that the Democratic Party – led by Hillary Clinton – is profoundly corrupt to the core, what difference does it make from where the source of truth, the source of holy light, appeared?   

The truth is the enemy now.  Rather than fearing Russia, the public should be looking for reasons to not live in fear of the U.S. Government.

The same Orwellian fog has enveloped the gold and silver markets, especially as the facts apply to the massive demand for gold in the eastern hemisphere.  Mainstream western financial media has become flooded with highly misleading and outright fraudulent news stories about the precious metals markets.  In this latest episode of the Shadow of Truth, we dissect through we pull away the wizard’s curtain to shed light on the facts:

Who Is Buying China’s Dumped Treasuries?

According to the latest Treasury International Capital report (for October), China unloaded nearly $42 billion in Treasuries in October. In the last 12 months, China has unloaded nearly $150 billion in Treasuries, equivalent to more than one month’s worth of new Treasury issuance by the U.S. Government.

The Zerohedge/mainstream financial media narrative is that China is selling Treasuries to defend the yuan. They hold reserves other than dollars. Why not sell those? They are trying to unload their Treasuries w/out completely trashing the market. Imagine what would happen to the bond market if China announced a bid wanted in comp for $1.1 trillion in Treasuries. They are working with Russia to remove the dollar’s reserve status and the U.S. doesn’t like it which is why there is an escalating level of military aggression toward Russia and China by the U.S.

Too be sure, China’s Treasury selling has contributed heavily to surprising spike up in long term Treasury yields.  But who is buying what China is selling?  Japan has been unloading Treasuries every month since July.  On a net basis, foreigners unloaded $116 billion Treasuries in October.  A colleague in the pension industry told me today that pensions are not buying Treasuries because the yield is too low.

Phil and John (Not F) Kennedy invited me on to their engaging and entertaining podcast show to discuss the chaos that has enveloped the global financial markets including the Fed rate hike, the manipulated take-down of gold and silver and the deleterious effects from the spike up in interest rates.

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Fake News, Propaganda And False Flags

The Fake News conspiracy is starting to lose steam.  It’s time to bury it completely. But this won’t happen because the “Fake News” narrative is another propaganda tool that is being used to distract the public’s attention from a collapsing economy and political system.

Paul Craig Roberts sent around an article that cites a former top NSA official who states explicitly that the NSA would have evidence of Russian influence on the election.  Apparently it has none:

If the idiots in the intelligence community expect us to believe them after all the crap they have told us (like WMD’s in Iraq and “no we don’t collect data on millions or hundreds of millions of Americans”) then they need to give clear proof of what they say. So far, they have failed to prove anything.

Which suggests they don’t have proof and just want to war monger the US public into a second cold war with the Russians.

After all, there’s lots and lots of money in that for the military-industrial-intelligence-governmental complex of incestuous relationships

This article is a must-read:   No Evidence Russia Hacked The Election.

The Russian/Fake News narrative is designed to foment Cold War 2.0 with Russia.  Russia and China are working – understandably – to remove the dollar as the world’s sole reserve currency.   The only means by which the U.S. can try to stop this is military.   It’s beginning to escalate into a dangerous game.  Trump seems to be perpetuating it by rhetorically fanning the flames with China in the South China Sea.

When an Empire is collapsing, history tells us that the Government foments “patriotism” through the heavy application of propaganda that is used to support rampant imperialism.  This is where the U.S. is right now.

Of course, Trump’s motive for enabling the Fake News narrative to perpetuate is to distract attention from his cabinet appointments, which have a decided Big Oil and Big Bank flavor to them.  So much for draining the Swamp.

This chart from William Banzai is priceless:

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Guest Post: Here’s Why The Banksters Are In Trouble

If the Fed were to reverse the portion of its QE in which it injected trillions onto big bank balance sheets as well as fomented a mortgage/housing bubble, the Too Big To Fails – including Goldman Sachs – would collapse.  Make no mistake, it would ultimately prove to be a good thing.

However, there’s also a growing groundswell of grassroot Americans who have “woken up.”  Perhaps the only good attribute of the last election is that it hastened the rate of enlightenment.   Too be sure, the number of Americans who understand the difference between Truth and Propaganda has vastly increased.

A reader of this blog and subscriber to the Mining Stock and Short Seller Journals submitted this narrative of a recent “enlightenment” experience that occurred while on a routine visit to the local barber shop.  It’s worth perusing:

I’m almost speechless as a result of the experience I just had. I have just returned from getting a haircut at the local barbershop downtown. I was there along with the barber, a semi-retired gentleman who now drives a school bus part-time, and a local hay farmer. Our conversation was an absolute stunner, and provides very compelling (albeit admittedly anecdotal) evidence that the bankster elite are in BIG trouble.

Why?

Well, first of all, the barber (in his late 30s) was explaining for all of us how the big banks are in MAJOR trouble on account of (and I am quoting verbatim) “the trillions of dollars of complex derivatives they are holding that are going to implode as a result of the rapid rise in US treasury bond yields.”

The bus driver then explained to everyone how he is no longer keeping any more money in his checking account than he needs to cover outstanding checks; that otherwise he holds all of his money in cash at home. Why? Because he is afraid that, at some point in the very near future, “we’ll all wake up on a Monday morning to discover that a bank holiday has been declared, and none of us will be able to access our funds.”

Finally, the hay farmer told us all how, as a result of having an excellent harvest this year, he had opted to pay off, two years early, the loan on his new tractor. He explained how he had received a call from the bank holding the loan, and the loan officer had attempted to convince him to NOT pay off the loan yet, and even offered to refund twelve months of interest payments if he would simply carry the loan to full term. The farmer adamantly refused. His response to the bank officer? “I understand perfectly well why you want to keep this loan on your books for two more years: you are using my loan as collateral to borrow short and lend long to the tune of at least ten times my original loan balance, and if I pay off my loan early, my debt and your collateral will be extinguished at the same time, and you’ll have to come up with more collateral to back up loans you never should have made in the first place.”

I was stunned!

“… borrow short and lend long … if I pay off my loan early, my debt and your collateral will be extinguished … loans you never should have made in the first place.” WOW!

I sat there absolutely amazed at the relatively high level of understanding manifest by these “salt of the earth” types — and I realized the extent to which the global elite have grossly underestimated the common folk of this world. I am, at this moment, as hopeful for the future of America as I have been in many years.

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CONFIRMED: Big Banks Rigging The Silver Market

According to the plaintiffs, records surrendered by Deutsche Bank show traders and submitters coordinating trades in advance of a daily phone call, manipulating the spot market for silver, conspiring to fix the spread on silver offered to customers and using illegal strategies to rig prices.

“Plaintiffs are now able to plead with direct, ‘smoking gun’ evidence,’ including secret electronic chats involving silver traders and submitters across a number of financial institutions, a multi-year, well-coordinated and wide-ranging conspiracy to rig the prices,” the plaintiffs said in their filing. The new scheme “far surpasses the conspiracy alleged earlier.” – Bloomberg.com, December 7, 2016

Anyone who denies that gold and silver are manipulated either has not spent time examining the evidence or is financially incentivized to refute all allegations. In other words, they are either ignorant or willfully corrupt. This includes the entire universe of politically corrupt western Central Bankers and professionally criminal Wall Street bankers. But first and foremost it includes all three branches of Government.

Traders discussing on recorded lines ways in which to rig the silver market? Imagine that. Lost in the smoke of the latest revelations about the big bank silver market manipulation is the fact that Andrew Maguire presented evidence of this at JP Morgan over six years ago. Perhaps the most shocking aspect about the latest revelations is that JP Morgan was not cited in the Deutsche Bank court filings.

Although summarily dismissed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and mainstream financial conspiracy, JP Morgan has been the “ring leader” in the silver market manipulation scheme for years.

The latest revelations will never be accepted as truth until CNN or CNBC reports on them to “verify” for the zombie masses that the big banks are indeed corrupt beyond the imagination of “conspiracy theorists.” It will be interesting to see if this will lead to RICO prosecution, which it should:

RICO law refers to the prosecution and defense of individuals who engage in organized crime. In 1970, Congress passed the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) Act in an effort to combat Mafia groups. Since that time, the law has been expanded and used to go after a variety of organizations, from corrupt police departments to motorcycle gangs. RICO law should not be thought of as a way to punish the commission of an isolated criminal act. Rather, the law establishes severe consequences for those who engage in a pattern of wrongdoing as a member of a criminal enterprise

The threat of RICO was used to pry open the truth at Drexel Burnham in order to bring down what was, at the time, one of the biggest – if not the biggest – financial market corruption schemes in U.S. history.

The latest revelations are hard evidence that GATA has been right since 1998, when it was founded by Bill “Midas” Murphy and Chris Powell in order to document and expose the gold and silver market manipulation for the world to see. GATA’s evidence has been written off for over a decade as “conspiracy theory.” Now it is confirmed conspiracy truth. In fact, Murphy was banned as a guest on CNBC after he discussed gold market manipulation.

“Fake news?” Hardly. Proof is now in court documents. In today’s episode of the Shadow of Truth, we discuss the latest court documented evidence which confirms that silver market manipulation is standard operating procedure at the big banks who are supported by the taxpayers:

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Party Like It’s 1999: The Stock Market Is A Propaganda Tool

The degree and level of propaganda now flowing from the Establishment and the Establishment-controlled mainstream media is on par with that of the old Soviet Politburo or German Third Reich.   In fact, I’d confidently propose that this point is incontestable.

With modern technology and regulations which have made Fed operations and accountability tragically opaque, I have zero doubt that the Fed and the Government have managed to turn the stock market into another propaganda tool.  Studies have shown that, over the short term, the direction of the stock market and consumer sentiment measures are highly correlated.

Thus, pushing the stock market a lot higher is a mechanism that can be used to influence the public’s sentiment and willingness to spend.  This is critical after an election in which the political party controlling Capitol Hill changes and – more important – during the holiday shopping season.

Without question the U.S. economy is beginning to quickly crumble.  If you “peel away” the manipulative techniques applied to the economic reporting it reveals that every segment of the economy is now contracting.  Even the factory orders report for October released  yesterday – which showed a 2.7% gain over September – is still down 2.3% YTD vs the same YTD period in 2015.  Strip away the transportation component and it’s down 2.7%.

With interest rates on the long end up over 100 basis points in a very short period of time, the Fed’s balance sheet has taken a big hit. It currently owns over $4 trillion in Treasuries and mortgage securities. Assuming an average duration of 10 years on its holdings, the market value of the Fed’s balance sheet has dropped 8.4%, or approximately $320 billion. As of this past Thursday, the Fed’s balance sheet showed $46 billion in book equity. If the Fed were forced to mark-to-market its fixed income holdings, the Fed’s net worth would be significantly negative – close to $300 billion negative. Think about that: the only thing backing the value of the U.S. dollar right now is the U.S. military and a Central Bank with a massive negative net worth.  – excerpt from IRD’s latest Short Seller’s Journal

Market intervention in this manner is an attempt to convince the public that the economic system is healthy and will be even healthier in the future.  As such it’s another subtle propaganda tool – a perception management device.   If the Fed were step away from the market, the stock market would rapidly re-price to reflect the true underlying economic reality.  In short, stocks would crash and concomitantly gold and silver would soar.

The Fed injected billions into the system in late 1999 ahead of Greenspan’s Y2k scare. It led to the biggest stock market blow-off top of all-time.The current market is quite similar, only the economic and financial fundamentals underlying both the public and private sectors of the system are far worse than they were in 1999.

The ONLY thing that can explain the move in the stock market since around 2:00 a.m. EST after the election is massive Fed stimulus in some form – either direct cash injections done in a format that won’t show up on the Fed’s balance sheet or a massive spike up in the availability of short term credit lines made available to banks and extended to hedge funds. There is no other explanation.

Today for example, the stock market is spiking higher AND bond prices are higher/yields lower. This makes absolutely no sense and can only be explained by official intervention of some sort.

Gold and silver will “sniff” this out and at some point I expect to see gold begin to move a lot higher and the dollar sell-off precipitously. I also expect that the Chinese are going to send their response to Trump’s inimical overtures on Twitter by accelerating their sale of U.S. Treasuries.

lf the same GAAP accounting standards used in 1999 to measure corporate earnings – the standards having been relaxed more almost every year since 2000 to enable companies to report higher GAAP earnings – were applied to today’s earnings numbers, we would see that the current stock market is by far the most overvalued in history.

This will not end well.

NATO, The Obama Government And Fake News

Here’s the identity of the entities behind PropOrNot:

Launched by a resounding article in the Washington Post, on 24 Novembre 2016 [11], a mysterious group entitled Propaganda or Not? established a list of de 200 Internet sites – including Voltairenet.org – who were allegedly tasked by the Kremlin with relaying Russian propaganda and intoxicating US public opinion to the point where they elected Donald Trump.

While Propaganda or Not? does not publish the names of its directors, it does indicate that it unites four organisations – Polygraph, The Interpreter, the Center for European Policy Analysis and the Digital Forensic Research Lab.

– Polygraph is one of the sites of Voice of America, the US public radio and television organisation controlled by the Broadcasting Board of Governors.
– The Interpreter is a magazine of the Institute of Modern Russia, now broadcast by Voice of America.
– The Center for European Policy Analysis is a pseudopod of the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) directed by Zbigniew Brzeziński and Madeleine Albright.
– And finally, the Digital Forensic Research Lab is a programme of the Atlantic Council.

In a document distributed by Propaganda or Not?, this pseudo-NGO, born of associations financed by the Obama administration, clearly names its enemy – Russia. It accuses Russia of having been the origin of the 9/11 Truth Movement and the Internet sites supporting Syria and Crimea.

On 2 December 2016, the United States Congress voted a law forbidding all military co-operation between Washington and Moscow. In the space of a few years, NATO has re-activated MacCarthyism.

You can read this entire article here:  NATO, The Obama Government And “Fake News”

I did a podcast with Elijah Johnson of Finance and Liberty/Silver Doctors in which we discussed the use of fake news and manipulated Government economic reports as totalitarian propaganda tools:  Orwell’s Thought Police In Real-Time.