Here’s the latest update from the collaborative effort between The Daily Coin and Investment Research Dynamics, AKA the Shadow of Truth:
Stewart Dougherty is back with scathing commentary about the big mining companies – Barrick, Newmont, Goldcorp, etc – and their unwillingness to fight the obvious intervention in the gold and silver markets by western Central Banks and Governments.
While the Fed and other Deep State puppets have floated subtle memes that there is a noble purpose behind the control of gold, such as to support the dollar and preserve confidence in their (disintegrating) financial and monetary system, these are nothing but contrived and coagulated lies designed to cover up the biggest financial crime in history. – Stewart Dougherty
In 1980, the Financial Deep State realized that there existed an extraordinary opportunity for serial plunder and profiteering: the manipulation of the gold and silver markets. They immediately mobilized to exploit it.
During the subsequent 37+ years (we are now well into the 38th), the Deep State manipulators have criminally looted the gold and silver markets, pocketing astronomical profits for themselves in the process, all of which have come from real victims on the other sides of their fraudulent trades. While literally billions of people worldwide have been financially damaged by this crime, many of them severely, not one of the perpetrators has spent so much as ten seconds in jail for the global looting spree they have conducted. This is because precious metals price fraud is a state-sponsored crime.
While in this article we will concentrate on gold from here on, the exact dynamics we describe also apply to silver. The only difference between the two is that the price carnage in silver has been far worse than it has been in gold, on a percentage basis.
As a consequence of the unrelenting gold price manipulation, gold has been thrust into two severe bear markets that have lasted for more than 27 of the past 37 years, or more than 72% of the time.
The first bear market ran from 1980 until 2001, during which the gold price was savaged from $850 to $250 in nominal dollars, a plunge of 71%. Inflation-adjusted to today’s dollars, the carnage was even worse: it collapsed from $2,674 to $344, an 87% implosion.
In 2001, in the midst of unprecedented (at the time, but far worse now) economic, financial and monetary pressures, gold embarked on a ten year rise to a nominal (although not inflation-adjusted), all-time high of $1,925. The Financial Deep State had its hands full then with other, more pressing matters (such as keeping its global financial and monetary Ponzi schemes from disintegrating), and was forced to take its eyes off of the gold ball. It is impressive what gold can do when it is freed from the chains of greed, looting, and official corruption.
By 2011, after employing its signature techniques, including rampant counterfeiting and reporting fraud, the Deep State had returned the errant financial genies to their poison bottles, and was able once again to focus its attention on its favorite, most profitable crime: precious metals price rigging.
For the 6+ years since, gold has been slammed into a second major bear market, during which its price has been crushed from $1925 to $1050, a collapse of 45%. It has recovered somewhat to $1210 at the time of this writing.
During the entire 37+ year period, and particularly during the 27+ years of outright price annihilation, the major gold miners have done precisely nothing to expand the market for physical gold via advertising, direct marketing or any of the other proven demand-creation techniques. They have also done nothing to support gold’s price in any way, or to take action against the criminal price manipulators.
Central banks stand ready to lease gold in increasing quantities should the price rise. – Alan Greenspan, 1998 in Congressional testimony on OTC derivatives
Gold has been in a steady uptrend since December 18th, bottoming at $1131 after a four and half month price correction. Firmly back over the 50 dma, the price momentum appears to be a threat to the “bullion” banks who suppress the price of gold in the paper derivatives market on behalf of the western Central Banks and, ultimately, the BIS.
The banks must feel threatened by the recent activity in both physical and paper gold trading. This morning the price of gold was attacked in the Comex paper market after St. Louis Fed-head, James Bullard, delivered remarks about interest rate policy that should have propelled the price of gold higher: “We think the low-safe-real-rate regime is unlikely to change in the near term. This means the policy rate can also remain relatively low over the forecast horizon” (link).
Instead, the Comex was bombed with paper:
At 9:54 a.m. EST, 3,927 April gold futures contract (paper gold) was dropped on the Comex. Prior to this, the the average number of contracts per minute since the Comex had opened was under 500 contracts. This is 11.1 tonnes of paper gold which hit the Comex trading floor and electronic trading system in a 60 second window. It represents approximately 30% of the total amount of gold the Comex vault operators are reporting to be available for delivery under Comex contracts – dumped in paper form in 1 minute.
This reeks of fear. The western Central Banks have grossly underestimated the eastern hemisphere’s appetite for physically deliverable gold. Despite an attempt by the BIS to mute India’s demand by restricting the availability of cash in India’s banking system, India’s current demand is robust and will likely increase as Indian’s now have cause to fear the Indian Government’s war on cash.
In addition, China’s demand for gold seems to be accelerating. Based on Swiss export numbers, 158 tonnes of gold was shipped to China in December. Far higher than the numbers presented by “official” organizations tracking gold flows. Current premiums to the global market price of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange are running in the low teens. So far this week well over 100 tonnes of gold have been delivered onto the SGE. Except for the PBoC, all gold distributed inside China must first pass through the SGE.
The western Central Banks will have a problem if the price of gold begins to take-off, as they will lose control of their ability to control the price using derivatives. Perhaps in addition to the standard price containment operation on the Comex this morning, the attack on the price of gold in the paper market was in response to Eric Sprott’s comments on King World News yesterday:
“There’s no doubt about it if they (investors) keep coming in and buying that kind of tonnage. At some point they will look inside at what little gold is left in the Western vaults and say, ‘No mas. We can’t keep doing this at the rate that they are buying tonnage because we will run out of gold.’ And if they see that they are going to run out of gold in a year or so, when do they raise the white flag? I have told you many times that the Western central banks have been making up for the imbalance in term of supply and demand by dishoarding their gold hoard surreptitiously”
The prediction I presented in the last Mining Stock Journal to subscribers about gold is developing even before the new year.
Although it seems like the precious metals sector has experienced another down year, the
HUI index is still up 48.6% from its 12/31/15 close and it’s up 65% from its low on January
19th this year.
The technicals in the gold market never been set up better than they are now for a contrarian move higher. On the assumption that gold closes on Friday lower for the week than last week, it will mark seven straight weeks in which gold has closed lower on a weekly basis. This has never happened before.
The premiums for physically delivered gold in China have never been higher. Egon Von Greyers, in Switzerland, reported in his latest King World News interview that there are reports that Swiss refiners have been paying a premium to buy gold. My suspicion is that the Chinese are willing to pay $30+ premiums to world gold in order to keep the supply from Swiss refiners flowing, which is why Swiss refiners are willing to pay premiums to acquire dore bars and scrap.
This illustrates the growing disconnect between the price of gold being paid by the markets in which physical delivery is a requirement vs. the price being paid by the paper gold markets (NYC, London) in which physical delivery (i.e. removed from the exchange and received into private hands) is highly limited, if not outright discouraged or considered a peculiarity.
The above analysis is an excerpt from the latest issue of the Mining Stock Journal. In thi s issue, I present several technical indicators which suggest gold is poised for a big move higher. The mining stocks have been telegraphing this since late November – I detail this point in the MSJ
The MSJ is a bi-weekly subscription-based newsletter delivered to your inbox every other Thursday. The focus is primarily junior exploration mining companies, which have provided the best upside returns since January. Bloomberg featured an article – LINK – which explained that in-ground reserves at the large gold producers are dwindling. This will make small exploration companies with demonstrated gold/silver resource in the ground a lot more valuable going forward. You can access the MSJ here: Mining Stock Journal Subscription Info.
I am a subscriber to both of your journals. I just want to say “WOW” to this post on your site. Thank you for all your work. As a financial professional of 28 years’ experience, I can tell you why there is no churn in your journal subscriptions. Your work is extremely sound and well done even in a massively manipulated environment. – Kevin B.
New subscribers receive all of the back-issues (via email) plus a glossary of terms which help explain mining technicals. The latest issue, released yesterday, has a junior explorer that has a proved resource on the largest copper-gold deposit discovered in recent years. This stock is worth at least twice it’s current market price based on the fundamental value of the deposit.
Silver Doctors invited me on their weekly Metals & Markets program to discuss notable events unfolding in the physical precious metals markets, the meaning of the Mint suspending 2016 silver eagle production several weeks earlier than normal, the bond market blood bath and other market occurrences that are eerily similar to events which unfolded before the 2008 de facto financial market collapse.
IRD is featuring an extraordinarily undervalued gold producer in its next issue of the Mining Stock Journal (out tomorrow). The previous issue featured a sell recommendation that might surprise those who own this particular stock. It also contained trading ideas on some high quality larger cap mining stocks that will bounce back quickly when this latest take-down of the precious metals market passes (likely this week). You can subscribe to the Mining Stock Journal with this link – MSJ Subscription. All of the back-issues are included (email delivery-based).
Out with the old, in with the old. Wall Street and the Fed wants to make nice with Trump so as soon as he accepted the next Presidency, the market manipulators went to work on pushing stocks higher and gold lower.
What happened with the threat issued by the media that if Trump were elected the stock market would crash? Yesterday Stanley Drunkenmiller issued a proclamation that he sold gold because inflation was coming. I do not believe that I have EVER come across any reference to the notion that gold in inversely correlated with inflation. Someone must’ve slipped Drunkenmiller some LSD in his scotch. But, then again, Drunkenmiller is part of the Soros family, which means he’s the enemy of the people and the truth.
The economic thesis connected to Trump is infrastructure spending and inflation generation. The insanely overvalued, over leveraged “infrastructure” stocks like Caterpiller and Terex screamed higher the last few days. But if Trump has his way with his economic ideas, corporate taxes will be cut and the Government will re-do the work Obama did on the infrastructure. Bridges to nowhere funded by more Government debt.
I’m sure most market participants with at least two brain cells to rub together – which de facto would exclude Larry Kudlow from this human demographic – have figured out that Trump’s game-plan would widen out the Federal spending deficit and further accelerate the issuance of more Treasury debt. It is likely that the Fed will have to monetize some of this new debt issuance. This is the perfect recipe for higher gold and silver prices.
What is occurring right now in the markets is nothing more than a knee-jerk response by the hedge fund algos to the overt intervention by the PPT (the Fed + the Working Group on Financial Markets). The PPT steps in to get stock and precious metals futures moving in opposite directions and the hedge fund black box computers pile in.
The massive take-down in gold is designed to make everyone feel better about Trump as the new president. But the price-smashing can only occur in the fraudulent paper gold markets in NY and London. Drunkenmiller is a fan, not surprisingly, of GLD – the quintessential postcard for fraudulent paper gold derivatives.
Today gold traded flat to up in the physical gold clearing eastern hemisphere markets. It wasn’t until the Comex opened that the real party for the criminal manipulators began. At one point, from 11:30 to noon EST 48,239 paper gold contracts were dumped on the Comex:
48,239 contracts represents 4.8 million ozs of paper gold – over 150 tons. Close to $6 billion worth of paper gold in 30 minutes. From 11:30 to the 1:30 Comex close EST, a little over 103,000 contracts were sold, representing 10.3 million ounces of paper gold, or 321.8 tons. The U.S. produces about 200 tons annually. Make no mistake, it is no coincidence that this hit on the price gold was gold timed to occur on a Friday holiday after the rest of the world had shut down their trading systems and went home for the weekend. This is standard modus operandi for the criminals running our system.
The Comex vaults are reporting a little over 2 million ounces available for delivery. If an imbalance between the futures and the underlying available physical commodity were this wide in any other CME market, the Government regulators would be cracking down on it immediately, no questions asked. Why is gold different? The gold and silver markets are the most manipulated markets in the world and the same people doing the manipulation will kept in place under Trump.
The good news is that the physical accumulation going on in the eastern hemisphere will accelerate next week with the lower price of gold. This always occurs. This will be the catalyst that will put a floor under the ability of the western elitists to push gold much lower.
I personally bought some physical gold this morning via Bitgold and reloaded some call options on some high quality large cap mining stocks and added to positions in my existing junior mining stock portfolio. The subscribers to my Mining Stock Journal were given my gameplan last night, including some names of other high quality mining stocks that have been beaten up and are overdue for big bounce.
Stanley Druckenmiller said: “I sold all my gold (sic) on the night of the election” because he sees inflation spiking and that will force money(sic) out of gold…hmmm….sell gold because you see inflation coming? That has to be the most idiotic investment rationale I’ve ever come across. Even “buy stocks because they keep going higher” is less dumb than that.
You’ll note the “sic” I added after Drunkenmiller’s comment about “gold.” “Sic” is used after a quoted word (from someone else) that seems odd or out of place. I inserted “sic” after Drunkenmiller’s use of “gold” because he never owned gold. He bought GLD, which is a paper derivative of gold. The only way you own gold is if you buy physical gold and keep it outside the system. GLD is a fraud, just like every other fiat paper “asset.”
I also inserted “sic” after his use of the word “money” with respect to “money flowing out of gold” (because he thinks inflation will spike up). Gold is money. It’s the second oldest form of transaction currency – silver being the oldest.
Finally, the idea that gold should be sold ahead of an expectation of a spike in inflation is…well, for lack of a better term, retarded (apologies to safe-space and socially correct people). Gold is the ultimate inflation hedge.
I sincerely do not know what would motivate Druckenmiller to make those remarks about gold – maybe he was patronizing what remains of CNBC’s imbecilic audience. I don’t feel any need to directly address each component Drunkenmiller’s assertions about gold – and about his expectations about feeling good about the prospects for the economy. The audiences of blogs like this one get it.
The current trading action in gold is being fueled by the paper market manipulation. If you review overnight charts for the last 3 months, you’ll see that on average and in general gold moves higher during the eastern hemisphere physical gold trading hours and gets bombed once the London and NY paper gold markets open after the Asian markets close.
It’s as simple as that. The paper gold market, like Drunkenmiller’s comments and investment rationale, are emblematic of the fraudulent, debt-riddled Ponzi nature of the U.S. and western hemisphere economies.
While the mantle of “power” in the U.S. was handed from Uncle Tom to Andrew Dice Clay, the real financial, economic and political power is being shifted from the western hemisphere to the eastern hemisphere. The massive flow of physical gold from west to east is the root of this tectonic geopolitical and economic movement.
One interesting occurrence that has not been written about in the precious metals alternative media or blog space yet is that gold has been quietly moving in tandem with the dollar over the past several trading sessions. It has been quite pronounced during the past four trading days, today inclusive. In the previous 15 years, gold’s best periods of return have occurred when gold and the dollar move in tandem higher for a brief period of time, followed by a period of time when the dollar heads south and gold continues higher.
If you look at graphs of both gold and the dollar side by side, you’ll see that this occurred in late 2005 into early 2006, when gold moved higher until May while the dollar fell and again in late 2008. It’s too early tell if that will happen now, but suffice it to say that both are moving in tandem right now and it’s worth watching to see if it continues. My theory is that there’s flight to safety into gold and the dollar ahead of an adverse economic event. As the event unfolds, the dollar begins to sell off but capital continues to flow into gold as the ultimate wealth preservation asset.
The above analysis is an excerpt from the latest issue of IRD’s Mining Stock Journal which was released last night. Earlier today, Bill “Midas” Murphy poked his head out of the New Orleans Investment Conference and asked me why the metals were acting “so goofy” this morning, to which I replied:
Interestingly, gold and the dollar have been moving in tandem the past several days. Not perfect correlation but I bet its 80-85%. I discussed this in the latest issue of my Mining Stock Journal. Over the last 15 years, gold has had some of its best performance periods when it moved in tandem with the dollar for a bit then took off higher while the dollar sold off. It’s been moving in tandem with the dollar today as well.
The manipulated correction is over. India and China are buying a LOT of gold right now. Two days ago nearly 100 tonnes were delivered onto the SGE. I don’t think the cartel can take gold lower and I think right now they are merely trying to keep the “beachball” from popping above the surface of the water. Every time gold pops up, they hit it, but gold bounces back like one of those punching clowns.
At some point they are going to have to go back into “managed retreat.” Maybe once the election is over.
You’ll note that there’s now been a complete reversal in the precious metals sector, with gold, silver and the HUI running higher and the SPX/Dow headed south. MSJ subscribers have been getting analysis like this since early March. In addition, my picks have been substantially outperforming the sector. MSJ is $20/month, with no minimum commitment period. You can access this content by clicking here: Mining Stock Journal.
You’ve got a great journal for an amazing price – James, happy subscriber
An Argentinian judge has ordered an indefinite suspension of mining at Barrick’s Veladero gold mine in Argentina due to a serious cyanide leak. To underscore the severity of the situation,it is being speculated that Barrick’s mine manager – who is no longer working at the site – has fled to Canada to avoid any possible prosecution.
Lawrence Williams provides a good analysis of the situation here: LINK. However, it is also worth reading an article in the Buenos Aires Herald, which reports that the Government has filed a complaint against Barrick: LINK.
This is an interesting development because the Valedero mine produces 10% of ABX’s 6 million ounces per annum – or 17 tonnes. This represents approximately .6% of the annual global gold mine production.
It’s not clear how long this mine will remained close. Certainly longer than the couple weeks that Barrick CEO, Kelvin Dushnisky, asserted after making light of the issue at the Denver Gold Forum.
In the opinion of this blog and the Mining Stock Journal, Barrick is a corporate abortion of a company and should be avoided at all costs as an investment.
A lot of questions were raised when it was reported that Deutsche Borse failed to deliver physical gold in exchange for its Xetra-Gold Notes. But the only real answer to those questions is simple: the only way you ever own physical gold is if you buy actual physical gold and take possession.
The allegations that Xetra-Gold or Deutsche Bank or Deutsche Borse committed fraud or failed to deliver gold are strictly false. One thorough reading of the Xetra-Gold prospectus dispels those allegations. The prospectus little more than a blanket legal disclaimer. The language is clear. It says right in the prospectus that the an investment in the Notes “does not constitute a purchase or other acquisition of Gold.” There is not case for fraud because none of the participants in Deutsche Borse, and Deutsche Borse itself, did not commit any breach of contract per the terms of the prospectus.
The term “economic” in the prospectus is defined (pg 12) to mean that the “bears the market risk associated therewith. If the gold price decreases, provided that all other conditions remain unchanged, such decrease may result in a partial or complete depreciation of the invested capital. If the gold price increases, provided that all other conditions remain unchanged, such increase may result in an increase in the invested capital.”
In this latest episode of the Shadow of Truth we discuss why buying paper forms of gold like GLD or Xetra-Gold is nothing more than an investment in a paper claim to the rate of return on gold during the period in which you own the security. If you don’t hold your gold in your own possession, you don’t own it: