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The Trade War Is Not The Problem With The Global Economy

by irdadmin | Dec 11, 2018 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Precious Metals, U.S. Economy

I chuckle when the hedge fund algos grab onto “positive” trade war headlines and trigger a sharp spike in stock futures.  Settlement of the trade war between the Trump Government and China will do nothing to prevent a global economic recession – a...

The Friday Avalanche In Vail Resorts Stock

by irdadmin | Dec 8, 2018 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

I recommended shorting MTN to my Short Seller’s Journal subscribers in my December 2nd issue.  While I expect MTN to lose at least $200 over time, I did not expect nearly 25% of that price-decline expectation to occur in 5 trading days after I presented the...

Trump’s Trade War Dilemma And Gold

by irdadmin | Dec 6, 2018 | Financial Markets, Gold, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, Precious Metals, U.S. Economy

If the “risk on/risk off” stock market meme was absurd, its derivative – the “trade war on/trade war off” meme – is idiotic.  Over the last several weeks, the stock market has gyrated around media sound bytes, typically dropped by...

The Trade War Shuffle And The Fukushima Stock Market

by irdadmin | Dec 3, 2018 | Financial Markets, Gold, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, Precious Metals, U.S. Economy

The market is already fading quickly  from the turbo-boost it was given by the announcement that China and Trump reached a “truce” on Trump’s Trade War – whatever “truce” means.   Last week the stock market opened red or deeply red...

Guest Post: New Home Sales Collapse

by irdadmin | Nov 30, 2018 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

Note: New homes sales, based on the seasonally adjusted annualized rate metric, are down over 23% from their peak in November 2017. Pending home sales, which translate into existing home sales less canceled contracts (typically failed financing), are down on a...

Powell Just Signaled That The Next Crisis Is Here

by irdadmin | Nov 28, 2018 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

Housing and auto sales appear to have hit a wall over the last 8-12 weeks.  To be sure, online holiday sales jumped significantly year over year, but brick-n-mortar sales were flat. The problem there:  e-commerce is only about 10% of total retail sales.  We...
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