“People were purchasing bulbs at higher and higher prices, intending to re-sell them for a profit. Such a scheme could not last unless someone was ultimately willing to pay such high prices and take possession of the bulbs. In February 1637, tulip traders could no longer find new buyers willing to pay increasingly inflated prices for their bulbs. As this realization set in, the demand for tulips collapsed” – “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds,” Charles Mackay
“So yes, in a way I’m saying we can keep going up while at risk of reverting at any moment” – NorthmanTrader.com
The market is melting up and indicators that a top is approaching are proliferating. This is one of the typical anecdotes that accompany markets nearing a top: On CNBC last Wednesday morning the hosts plus a couple guests were discussing the market and one of the guests said that value doesn’t matter anymore “it’s all about momentum.” I almost fell off my chair when I heard that because the “fundamentals don’t matter it’s all about momentum” was one of the mantras in late 1999.
Chris Marcus (Arcadia Economics) and I discuss the current stock market melt-up and whether or not it can be shorted with success and how to manage the risks of being short:
Some of the commentary above is excerpted from the Short Seller’s Journal. Each weekly issue contains macro economic analysis, market analysis, and short ideas. I To learn more about this short-sell focused newsletter, click here: Short Seller’s Journal info
One of the first comments about the economy from Larry Kudlow after his appointment as Trump’s chief “economic” advisor was to advise anyone listening to “sell gold.” But why? Gold is irrelevant in the United States. Very few Americans care about silver and even less care about gold. So why bring attention headline attention to gold?
The simple, if not obvious, answer is that gold is the number one threat to the U.S. dollar. It’s the antithesis of gold. For a born again Catholic like Kudlow, gold is the anti-Christ.
Silver Doctors invited me onto its weekly Metals and Market Wrap show to discuss the February employment report, the appointment of Larry Kudlow and, of course, gold and silver:
Use these links if you are interested in learning more about IRD’s Short Seller’s JournalorMining Stock Journal. Many of my short sell and junior mining stock ideas have been successful despite the lofty stock market and sideways trending precious metals market. I review both short and longer term trading/investment ideas in each issue.
The supply of gold, unlike paper money, is limited. Alchemists have tried for centuries to turn other metals into gold — but have never succeeded. Gold is a beautiful metal on its own and the lust for gold seems to be built into the DNA of mankind. If you own ten thousand ounces of gold, you can say that you will ALWAYS be wealthy. – Richard Russell
Now that everyone is blaming Russia – instead of the weather – for everything that is happening (Adidas blamed Russia for its poor results instead of the fact that its shoes suck) – I’m wondering when Obama is going to come out and tell us Russians killed Jesus.
Of course, ignore the Chicago PMI report today – which just posted the 2nd biggest drop on record and the biggest ever miss vs. Wall Street Einsteinian forecasts: LINK.
Conveniently skip that fact and continue to believe in a 4% GDP report and Santa Clause.
When the stock market finally cracks, it will exert particularly brutal downside force on the housing stocks. I uncovered a particularly shocking aspect to one homebuilder’s financial disclosure that no one else has mentioned.