Tag Archives: silver

“Why Fed Bugs Really Hate Gold”

The media campaign against gold continues. With Congress ordering magical fiscal bailouts from the Treasury, Trump conjuring up continued $600 weekly unemployment payments by executive order, and the Fed adding assets of every dubious stripe to its swollen $7 trillion balance sheet, gold prices predictably spiked to over $2,000 per ounce last week. Right on schedule, Fed bug journalists respond with a litany of “Gold is foolish, don’t buy it!” articles. In fact they sound like real estate agents in reverse: there is never a good time to buy. Gold goes up relative to the dollar; it’s overpriced and poised for a big fall. Gold falls below $1,100, as it did in 2015? See, we told you this worthless shiny metal was headed down! (article link below)

Gold is the kryptonite of the fiat currency, fractional banking monetary system.  It is sunshine to the vampires who control the money supply and conjure up fairytales which purport an ability to be able to control  the natural laws of economics through the use of modern monetary policy tools.

When gold starts moving higher in price enough to get noticed by the general population who otherwise have been told ad infinitum that gold is nothing more than a useless barbarous relic, the mainstream anti-gold media swarms into the action:  Gold Is A Foolish Place To Put Your Money

The Mises Institute posted a must-read commentary on the mainstream media and financial world’s irrational hatred of gold:  Why Fed Bugs Really, Really Hate Gold.

 

Owning Gold And Silver Is Critical For The End Game

“…unprecedented monetary stimulus is fueling asset bubbles and corporate debt addiction — rendering interest-rate hikes impossible without an economic crash…gold could rise to $3,000 to $5,000 an ounce in the next three to five years” – Diego Parrilla, head of the $450 million Quadriga Igneo fund, which is up 47% YTD

My personal view is that Diego is low by several  multiples on his estimate for the eventual price of gold before the entire system is reset. And, based on the current gold/silver ratio, the price of silver is 4x undervalued in relation to gold.

Kenneth Ameduri invited me back on to his Crush The Street podcast to discuss the factors behind the precious metals raging bull market and what the end game might look like:

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Several of my junior and larger cap stock ideas have had huge moves higher. I will be discussing what to do with these stocks in the next few issues of my Mining Stock Journal plus presenting any new ideas I uncover that have yet to be widely discovered. You can learn more about Investment Research Dynamic’s newsletters by following these links (note: a minimum subscription period beyond the 1st month is not required):  Short Seller’s Journal subscription information   –   Mining Stock Journal subscription information

Note:  I do not receive any promotion or sponsor payments in any form from the mining stock companies I present in my newsletter. Furthermore, I invest in many of the ideas personally or in my fund.

What’s Going On With Silver?

Chris Marcus wanted my opinion about whether or not a silver “smash” was coming:  “I would never want to be as dogmatic as saying ‘never’ because anything can happen with a banking [and financial markets] system as corrupt as the one in the U.S.”

But silver is historically cheap as an asset in relation to the universe of dollar-based financial assets and relative to the dollar-value of gold.  Until the global monetary system is reset, gold and silver are going much higher price in ALL fiat currencies. As silver moves higher, there will be even more aggressive attempts to control its rise and this will entail higher volatility – both up and down but mostly up.

Chris (Arcadia Economics) and I examine this topic in our latest podcast and I draw from 20 years of experience in the precious metals sector including a 4-year span in the early 2000’s when I traded silver futures almost around the clock:

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You can learn more about  Investment Research Dynamics newsletters by following these links (note: a minimum subscription period beyond the 1st month is not required):  Short Seller’s Journal subscription information   –   Mining Stock Journal subscription information

Note:  I do not receive any promotion or sponsor payments in any form from the mining stock companies I present in my newsletter. Furthermore, I invest in many of the ideas personally or in my fund.

H.R. 2559: The Gold Transparency Act Of 2019

House Rep, Alexander Mooney, introduced a Bill that would the first true audit of gold owned by the United States in more than 65 years. The Bill, if passed, would require a full assay, inventory and audit of the U.S.  gold every 5 years. Currently the gold is being “safe-kept” by the Fed.

The last time a Bill was introduced to audit the Fed, specifically the gold and gold swaps activity, the Fed spent millions in lobbying fees to have the legislation drafted by then House Rep, Ron Paul, buried.  Then Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, Barney Frank, made sure the Bill never left Committee.

What exactly does the Fed have to fear with respect an audit of the U.S. citizens’ gold held at the Fed?

Here’s the crux of the proposed legislation:

(a) GAO Assay, Inventory, And Audit.—The Comptroller General of the United States shall conduct and complete, not later than nine months after the date of enactment of this Act, and every 5 years thereafter—

(1) a full assay, inventory, and audit of all gold reserves, including any gold in “deep storage”, of the United States at the place or places where such reserves are kept;

(2) an analysis of the sufficiency of the measures taken to ensure the physical security of such reserves;

(3) a full accounting of any and all encumbrances, including those due to lease, swap, or similar transactions presently in existence or entered into at any time during the past 15 years with respect to the gold reserves;

(4) a full accounting of any and all sales, purchases, disbursements, or receipts at any time during the past 15 years—whether directly or indirectly undertaken—with respect to the gold reserves, including the specific terms and parties involved in such transactions; and

(5) a full accounting of all gold in which the U.S. Government (including the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or any other Federal agency) presently has a direct or indirect interest, including gold that may be held by third parties, including, for example, the Bank for International Settlements, the International Monetary Fund, the Exchange Stabilization Fund, any foreign central bank, or any other party, public or private.

Though this proposed Bill should be enacted in this form by both the House and the Senate, I would bet my last nickel that the Fed will make sure this legislation never sees the light of day.  The only question is my mind is whether or not Rep. Mooney will end up being found in his shower some morning dead by “suicide.”

The Historical Stock Bubble, Idiot Stocks And Gold

The Fed has blown the current stock bubble to an unprecedented magnitude. While the most outrageous overvaluations are concentrated in the tech sector, the valuation insanity has engulfed the entire stock market. Bubble chasers ran Hertz, a bankrupt company that will either liquidate or restructure, up to a valuation close to $1 billion after the Company filed for bankruptcy.

Perhaps the poster-child for this historic stock market Hindenburg is Tesla. Its valuation makes a mockery of our markets and shows what a complete farce the regulatory, legal and judicial systems have become in our country. It is the perfect reflection of the Banana Republic into which the U.S. has transformed over the last 10 years.

The precious metals sector is just getting warmed up. Since late March, when the Fed opened up the floodgates of its digital money printing press, gold is up 21%, the SPX is up 37%, silver is up 54% and the mining stocks are up 86%. Expect the large cap gold/silver producers to produce another round of big earnings beats for Q2 and Q3, which will drive the mining stocks even higher.

Lior Ganz invited me onto his Wealth Research Group podcast to discuss the current stock market insanity and what’s ahead for the precious metals sector:

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You can learn more about  Investment Research Dynamics newsletters by following these links (note: a minimum subscription period beyond the 1st month is not required):  Short Seller’s Journal subscription information   –   Mining Stock Journal subscription information

Note:  I do not receive any promotion or sponsor payments in any form from the mining stock companies I present in my newsletter. Furthermore, I invest in many of the ideas personally or in my fund.

“New subscriber here. Thank you for the Great newsletter with a very professional analysis.”

The Precious Metals Bull Market Is Just Revving Up

The monetary “gods” at the Federal Reserve have created the perfect monetary policy recipe to fuel gold, silver and mining stocks to new all-time highs and beyond. While the bubbleheads in the financial media have been garishly cheerleading the general stock market as it heads to an extreme overvaluation that will not end well, the mining stocks have outperformed the big three stock indices by a considerable margin.  As an example, since the March bottom, GDX is up over 100%, while the Nasdaq Composite is up 51.6% and the SPX is up 40%. And the mining stocks are just getting warmed up.

Relative to the prices of gold and silver, the mining stocks are still extraordinarily undervalued. In 2011 when gold peaked at $1900, the HUI index was trading over 600. It just recently crossed over 300.

Bill Powers of Mining Stock Education and I discuss the bullish set-up for the precious metals sector, including the gold/silver ratio, specific junior mining stocks and a couple other timely topics:

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You can learn more about the Mining Stock Journal by following this link:   MSJ Subscription Info.  In the next issue released July 9th I discuss several of the stocks I follow, recommend and in which I invest, capital management strategies and I present a junior exploration “venture capital” idea that has the potential to be a 5-bagger from its current level.

Comex Data Shows The Potential For A Run On Gold And Silver

The last few delivery periods for gold and silver on the Comex have experienced a record number of longs standing for delivery. For gold, April’s record was topped by June’s record. Sandwiched in between these to “front month” contracts was a record amount of gold “delivered” in May (May is a non-front month contract). July silver appears right now to be headed for a record number of “deliveries.”

I put “deliveries” in quotes because a large majority of the entities which stand for “delivery” never remove their bars from the Comex vaults. For all we know the banks are using unallocated bars, or even bars that don’t exist, to satisfy the terms of the “deliveries.” That said, if the stoppers (the entities that take “delivery”) begin in large numbers to remove their bars from Comex vault custody and move the bars to alternative safekeeping, the potential exists to cause a run and eventual default on the Comex.

Chris Marcus and I discuss this topic in our latest weekly podcast:

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You can learn more about  Investment Research Dynamics newsletters by following these links (note: a minimum subscription period beyond the 1st month is not required):  Short Seller’s Journal subscription information   –   Mining Stock Journal subscription information

Note:  I do not receive any promotion or sponsor payments in any form from the mining stock companies I present in my newsletter. Furthermore, I invest in many of the ideas personally or in my fund.

Gold And Mining Stocks vs Stocks – Many Will Be Surprised

The precious metals sector – gold, silver and mining stocks – is in the early stages of a rabid bull market.  The mainstream media has been dead silent on the performance of the precious metals, which is not a surprise to those of us who have been involved in the sector since 2001, when gold bottomed at $250, silver was around $4 and the HUI index was at 45.

Since September 2018, gold has significantly outperformed the stock market. In fact, per this chart below, measured in terms of real money the Dow is in a bear market  – down 36.3% since September 2018:

This chart shows the performance of the SPX vs GDX for the last 52 weeks:

Measured against the GDX mining stock ETF, the S&P 500 is down 42.1% since mid-March. In other words, the S&P 500 is in a bear market when expressed in terms of a mining stock index. Again, the silence from the mainstream financial media and the big Wall Street banks is deafening.

This bull move has a long way to go. The momentum junkies, macro hedge funds and generalist equity funds have yet to discover the precious metals sector. The retail stock jockeys chasing bankrupt stocks to the moon can’t spell “gold” yet. Eventually when reality invades the stock market, an epic crash in will be followed by a move in the precious metals sector that will shock most and even surprise many precious metals bugs….Got gold?

“Major Battle Underway In The Gold Market”

The chart (and blog title) above is from James Turk via King World News. Turk was making the point that the western Central Banks, via the bullion banks, are short $4 billion worth of paper gold on the Comex. With all of the Central Bank money printing, and the Fed is by far printing the most, it would be a disaster for the fiat currency system if the price of gold were to break free and rediscover price discovery. It’s only a matter of time until this occurs. But for now the Central Banks are making a concerted effort to do what they do best: defer reality for as long as possible.

For now the goal is to prevent gold from breaking above $1800, which means the invisible “battle line” is at $1790. I remember when gold was trying to get over $400. It seemed like it took forever. But once $400 fell (shortly after Elliot Wave aficionado, Robert Prechter, proclaimed gold was going back to $50), it didn’t take long for gold to double (about 18 months). I think once gold gets through $1800 and holds, it will challenge the all-time high at $1900 relatively quickly. For as bullish as I am on gold, I’m 3x more bullish on silver.

A subscriber was concerned about the possibility of the miners getting hit hard in the next general stock market crash. I suspect the miners will get hit initially but then stage a rally. But that’s why I advise always leaving yourself plenty of cash to take advantage of big sell-offs that will likely recover quickly and take the market higher.

We’re in an ideal period of time for gold/silver to move higher with all of the money printing and concomitant currency devaluation. As gold/silver move higher the mining stocks will eventually catch a big bid from the mainstream investing public and soar. Look at how quickly the mining stocks recovered from the March massacre. (And from the Thursday/Friday morning price slam as the Comex was opening).

NOTE: The commentary above is from the last issue of my Mining Stock Journal subscription newsletter. In this issue I provide any updates and recommendations on my core portfolio recommendations.  I also provide a brief review of Vizsla Silver ($VIZSF) and Mako Mining ($MAKOF).  You can learn more about my newsletter here:   Mining Stock Journal

Fact, Fiction And Fraud At The Comex

“I think there will be a full monetary system reset after the world has had enough of Jay Powell and his digital printing press.”

The alleged gold flow into the Comex and amount of gold for which contract longs are taking “delivery” is at a historical extreme. I use “delivery” because “taking delivery” means being assigned an electronic warrant that records ownership transfer of a Comex registered bar presumably (but not guaranteed) to be sitting in a Comex-approved vault.  It  does not mean that the party taking delivery takes possession of  a physical bar.

Chris Marcus and I discuss the unusual activity at the Comex and the LBMA in the podcast below.  But first read this excellent article from Ronan Manly at Bullionstar.com, who dissects fact from fiction about the Comex vault and delivery reports:

However, given the opacity of the wholesale gold market and the unconvincing explanations from its fronting organizations the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and COMEX operator CME Group (e.g. closed refineries, grounded flights), those looking for a ‘Theory of Everything’ framework to connect all of the above have had to do so on their own.

While Bloomberg and Reuters are content with repeating spoon-fed handouts about all of the above – eating the breadcrumbs instead of following the trail – and between them have published at least 30 articles on the subject, thankfully there are many on the sidelines who are more inquiring and less gullible, hence the skepticism, speculation and debate.  “The Curious Case of Comex Gold Deliveries…”

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You can learn more about  Investment Research Dynamics newsletters by following these links (note: a minimum subscription period beyond the 1st month is not required):  Short Seller’s Journal subscription information   –   Mining Stock Journal subscription information

Note:  I do not receive any promotion or sponsor payments in any form from the mining stock companies I present in my newsletter. Furthermore, I invest in many of the ideas personally or in my fund.