Tag Archives: Comex futures

40.5 Tonnes Of Paper Gold Dumped In 4 Minutes

One/some/several “entities” decided at 9:38 a.m. this morning that  it was necessary to dump 14,315 contracts of paper gold.  This is just the August contract.  In total a lot more was unloaded.   This represents 1.43 million ozs of gold.  The Comex is only showing 900,000 ozs of “gold” as “registered,” or available for delivery in June, July and August (assuming all of that gold is actually sitting physically in the Comex vaults as reported).  If we make that generous assumption, 531,000 ozs of paper gold was naked shorted.

The news report or event that triggered this sudden need to unload / naked short 40.5 tonnes of paper gold beginning at 9:38 a.m. EST is not clear.  The mainstream financial media is attributing the dump in gold to the “anticipation of Comey’s testimony.”  But this is patently absurd, if not a complete insult to the public’s intelligence.  The market has known all week that Comey was testifying this morning and it was generally know what he would say.

This is what the price action in the gold market looked like before the huge paper dump onto the Comex – Asia/India buying physical gold and driving the price higher, London/LBMA selling paper gold and driving the price back down:

With all the frenzy connected to the parabolic rise of cryptocurrencies, one has to wonder why the western Central Banks are concerned with controlling the price of these block-chain based digital currencies.  If the Comey testimony was a reason to push down the price of gold, why were the “flight to safety” cryptos left alone?

This is a rhetorical question, but the relative threat – and therefor the legitimacy as a competing form of money –  that each represents to the dollar-based reserve currency system is a hint.   For some reason the “wizards” behind the BIS curtain are not concerned about the cryptos…

Helicopter Money Coming Soon To The United States – Gold & Silver Will Soar

The U.S. Government is going to run a huge budget deficit going forward.  Tax receipts are falling in correlation with economic activity and less foreigners are interested in buying new Treasury debt issuance.   Last year, despite Obama’s claim that the U.S. budget deficit was only $400 billion, the U.S. Treasury had to issue over $1 trillion in new debt.  Obama lied his ass off.   This year the U.S. Treasury debt will go up even more than last year.  At some point the Fed will have to print money in order to fund new Treasury issuance.

Jason Burak invited onto this Wall St for Main Street show last Friday.  We discussed the deteriorating economic and political condition of the United States plus some other timely topics, including why every sell-off in gold and silver need to be bought:

On another note, another one of the stocks I featured in a past Mining Stock Journal has shot up over 45% today.  This was a stock that almost no other analyst in the U.S. or Canada was discussing when I presented the idea.   The stock is up 74% from when I featured it in mid-April.  You can access ideas like this by clicking on this link:  Mining Stock Journal.  For now, the subscription price includes all of the back-issues.

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More Evidence The Fed Is Losing Control Of Gold And Silver

“Chinese miners are competing to secure gold assets, because there’s a consensus that domestic demand will far outstrip local supply due to fast-growing investment demand,” Wang Rong, an analyst at Guotai Junan Futures Co. said – in response to the news that the Silk Road Fund is spending $2 billion to buy a gold mine from Glencore

I am highly confident of two facts that will be difficult to prove with certainty until after the event: 1) the eastern hemisphere is accumulating more physical gold and silver than can be possibly tracked by western propaganda sources; 2) the western Central Banks are losing their ability to control the price of gold and silver with paper derivatives (Comex futures, LBMA forwards, OTC derivatives, lease agreements, hypothecation agreements).

#2 is occurring because the supply/demand deficit of physical gold and silver that can be delivered to the buyer demanding delivery is exerting powerful upward force the on oversupply of fraudulent paper metal. GATA predicted this event would begin to occur eventually back around the turn of the century. It took longer than any of us thought it could but here we are:

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The Fed/bullion banks have been throwing a record amount of paper at the Comex, especially in relation to the declining amount of physical metal reported to be available for delivery into that paper. And yet, they can’t push the price of gold and silver despite incessantly repeated and aggressive attempts since late February.

There is a massive move higher coming in the entire precious metals sectors between now and the end of the year. My Mining Stock Journal will help you take advantage of the move. I focus on lesser-followed junior mining stocks with huge upside potential. You can subscribe plus receive all the back-issues by clicking here: MINING STOCK JOURNAL

I wanted to let you know how much I like your mining stock journal. I have taken advantage of your recommendations and have invested in most of them, especially the companies that Sprott has also taken a position in. Very nice finds! My overall portfolio is up approx. 300% this year. – Robert

Gold And Silver Continue To Scaling The Wall Of Worry

At the beginning of this week, almost every so-called gold market analyst was predicting a wash-out in precious metals because of the huge bullion bank short being reported in the COT report.  A few of us believe that character of the market has changed and paper market price manipulators are losing traction – for a lot of reasons.

This week shows that the banks covered a portion of their shorts and the hedge funds and little guys sold down longs and increased their shorts.  This information may be largely irrelevant.  Interestingly, in data I’ve parsed and presented in a previous blog post,  the beginning of two of the best gold/silver rallies since 2001 occurred at a time when the bullion banks held their biggest short position in gold futures (expressed as a ratio of total open interest).

The latest issue of the Mining Stock Journal was released last night.  In it I discussed the use of JNUG (the 3x junior mining stock index ETF) and I explain why we could be on the cusp of the best move yet in the sector.   And of course I present a remarkably undervalued junior mining company (a royalty company) in which insiders bought a boat-load of shares in January and now control over 30% of the equity.  You can access the MSJ here:   Mining Stock Journal.  

A subscriber had an interesting question that is a common question I get currently:    I really enjoyed this latest edition of your newsletter. I find myself getting less and less nervous about a price smash as it feels that the powers that be can no longer stem the tide of reality. One question I do have is whether you think a massive asset deflation event (similar or greater than 2008-09) will have a negative or positive impact on the shares

My reply:   I think there’s is going to be a collapse in all “assets” that have been inflated in price by the use of debt:  housing, NYSE stocks, bonds, etc.  That is different than general price deflation.  We may see a LOT more money printing as the Fed/Government attemptsUntitled to prevent a debt-driven asset collapse.  This will could drive the price of necessities up a lot.  But this  will really fuel the entire precious metals sector, especially the junior miners which have proved gold/silver/poly-metallic deposits.  (click in image to enlarge).

Any asset valuation collapse because of debt implosion will act like a heavy dose of Viagra on the value of mining stock shares.  Look at what happened in the 1930’s to stocks like Homestake Mining when the Dow was crashing.  When the initial stock plunge occurs, the miners might correlate lower for a bit but then they’ll do a life-style changing moonshot.

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Guest Post: Precious Metals Bull Snorts, Resumes Move

The character of the precious metals market has changed.  The manipulation efforts using paper derivatives masquerading as gold and silver futures contracts is losing traction.  I believe that the supply/demand dynamic in the physical gold and silver market is beginning to drive the price.  Control over the price of the metals is likely shifting from NY/London to Moscow and Shanghai.  I’ll have more to say about soon.

The  News Doctor’s Eric Dubin posted commentary and analysis of the blatant paper attack on the price of gold and silver that took place about 40 minutes into the floor trading session on the Comex on Thursday morning (April 21).  The initial price attack occurred in the space of about seven minutes in which $2 billion of paper gold and 1,218 tonnes of paper silver were  dumped on the Comex.   Over the last five years,  an attack like this was usually the start of bigger systematic price-takedown of the precious metals over a period of several days.  However, in the last couple of months, the market seems to shrug off these paper attacks and head higher.

“We’re setting up for an epic battle, and if silver keeps motoring forward, we may very well have an $18 handle on silver smack in the middle of the expiring contracts window.  Buckle-up!  There’s going to be fireworks, one way or another” – Eric Dubin, The News Doctors  You can read the rest of Eric’s commentary here:   The Precious Metals Bull 

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The Deutsche Bank Gold/Silver Manipulation Settlement: All Show, Little Tell

Until I’m proven wrong, it is likely that the Deutsche Bank gold/silver manipulation settlement with investors will not change the ongoing Central Bank/bullion bank manipulation of the gold and silver markets.

To begin with, the charges and settlement relate to DB’s participation the LBMA gold/silver daily price fix, from which DB removed itself in early 2014.  Deutsche Bank is de facto insolvent.  It would have collapsed under the weight of bad assets and fraudulent OTC derivatives had western Central Banks not cooperated to keep the corpse alive.  Letting DB hang for the sins of the other players was an easy decision.

It’s the Comex that is more relevant than the LBMA with regard to the highly methodical Central Bank intervention in precious metals trading.  The DB settlement isn’t going to change anything – just the names of the players that step in to replace any banks removed from the LBMA.  Why did they wait several months after the LBMA was “reformed” to announce this deal?  Because now they can say “we’ve taken measures to make sure banks like DB can’t manipulate the fix anymore.”  Truth is, all they did is make the process even more opaque and even more susceptible to rigging schemes.  Look at what happened to silver with the 84 cent price plunge at the a.m. silver fix on January 28th. This was  after the so-called reforms were put in place.

One positive note with DB’s settlement agreement:  It’s further vindicated GATA’s efforts to expose the truth about the manipulation that is endemic in the daily trading of gold and silver futures, forwards and OTC derivatives.   Eric Dubin’s (News Doctors) and Jason Burack’s  (Wall St For Main St) Welcome to Dystopia show hosted GATA’s Bill”Midas” Murphy to discuss the DB settlement and factors that are driving gold, silver and mining stock higher right now:

I hope I’m wrong on my assessment of the significance of the DB precious metals manipulation settlement. But everything that has occurred in the financial system over the past couple of decades has happened for a reason.  At the end of the day, the outcome of what appears to be an event that is beneficial to society ultimately turns into yet another device by the big banks to screw the public.

Shadow of Truth: An Age Of Deception And Fraud

If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.  – Joseph Geobbels,  Hitler’s Minister of Public Enlightenment and Propaganda

Put it on CNN and it’s true.  Perhaps one of the most baffling aspects of our system is the extreme dichotomy between perception and reality.  Anything reported by one of the major mainstream news sources is gobbled up and accepted as the truth by a majority of Americans.

Dr. Paul Craig Roberts wrote a brief commentary which describes how news reporting is used to control our perceptions in order to ensure the public acceptance of the Government’s agenda:  “Liberalism has helped to make Western people blind by creating the belief that noble intentions are more prevalent than corrupt intentions. This false belief blinds people to the roles played by deception and coercion in governing. Consequently, the true facts are not perceived and governments can pursue hidden agendas by manipulating news” – PCR, How They Brainwash Us.

The problem is, once you “see” the truth underlying the thick systemic facade of fraud and deception, you can’t “unsee it.”  The monthly non-farm payroll report will be released on Friday.  Every month market participants guzzle Maalox and sit on the edge of their seat in anticipation of the headline news release.  It seems beyond silly that the financial world spends an entire day discussing and analyzing the employment report, which is fictitious in its entirety.   Hell, the Government releases two different statistical versions of the employment report.  Which one is it – the Household Survey or the Payroll Survey?

It doesn’t really matter because once the unemployment rate metric hits the tape, that IS the number.  The truth is that the real unemployment rate is well over 20%.  But when everyone discusses The Number, they use the reported number which is currently 5%.  The process of reporting the monthly employment situation is extreme absurdity in its entirety.

In the Shadow of Truth’s latest “Market Update,”  we focus on the gold and silver market – or the fraudulent paper version thereof.  Like the monthly employment report, most market analysts base their assessment of the gold and silver market on the weekly Commitment of Traders report.  Of course, it makes no difference that the data in the report is already three days old by the time the report is released.  Neither does anyone seem to care that data in the report is compiled and submitted by three of the most corrupt banks in the world.  Another interesting misconception is the use of the gold/silver prices on Kitco as the “spot price.”  But that’s a fabrication as well…

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SoT – Bill Murphy: The Gold/Silver Manipulators Are At The End Of Their Rope

When silver breaks $18.50…it will then take out $50 and hit Eric Sprott’s number of $100-plus because since the last time it hit $50 they’ve gone through all that physical supply…this time they won’t be able to go to the physical supply well .  – Bill Murphy on the Shadow of Truth

A “commercial signal failure” occurs in commodities futures trading when the open interest in futures contracts exceeds the amount of the underlying commodity that is available to deliver into those contracts should enough entities that are long decide to demand delivery per the terms of the contract.  It is a rare event because the futures open interest in most commodities rarely exceeds more than 10-20% of the amount of the underlying available.

Except in the gold and silver markets, when the open interest in any other commodity wanders beyond that 120% level the Commodities Futures Trading Commission puts a halt to the entities which are responsible for what has been determined to be “attempted market manipulation.”  This has occurred in the past in the energy markets.

Too be sure, allowing open interest of futures contracts which exceeds the underlying availability of the commodity enables a higher degree of liquidity in the futures market. However, currently on the Comex the ratio of futures open interest to available gold for delivery is 174:1 – this is for the “registered,” or gold designated available for delivery.  In the silver market the ratio is 29:1. Given those absurd ratios, it’s safe to assume that the role of gold and silver futures trading is to enable the Fed and the U.S. Treasury, through their bullion bank emissaries (primarily JP Morgan, Scotia and HSBC) to use Comex futures as a tool for manipulating the market.

The Shadow of Truth hosted GATA/LeMetropole Cafe’s Bill “Midas” Murphy  to discuss some recent events which have led Bill to conclude that ability of the bullion banks to manipulate the precious metals has likely reached its end-game:  “eastern hemisphere demand for physical gold and silver is overwhelming the paper manipulators.”

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The first event occurred the day that the HUI “gold bug” mining stock index was driven below 100 intra-day.  It closed over 100 that day and then proceeded on an 18-day tear through that took the index up 60%.  (click on image to enlarge)

The second event was the blatantly fraudulent LBMA silver fix which “fixed” the price at $13.58 despite the fact that external Comex futures were trading at $14.40.

They know they have an end-game coming, and it’s begun and those two events were signatures of that.  – Bill Murphy

Bill was particularly “fired up” today and we think you’ll find the discussion highly engaging and informative:

The longer they drag this out, the worse it will be when the market finally breaks beyond their ability to control the outcome. – Bill Murphy

24% Of The Eligible Gold Was Removed From JP Morgan’s Comex Vault

I have to give credit to my friend/colleague Craig “Turd Ferguson” Hemke – TF Metals Report – for tweeting this piece of information.  I don’t monitor the Comex precious metals vault reports everyday.

Yesterday 24% of the “eligible” gold being held – supposedly – in JP Morgan’s Comex gold vault left the premises (click to enlarge):Untitled

Briefly to review, the “eligible” gold is the gold that is being “safe”kept at the Comex by investors who took delivery of gold. The Comex actually offers a big discount to the market rate charged for safekeeping to investors who keep their gold in the confines of Comex bank vaults.

I think it’s safe to say that either a big investor who took delivery of the gold and was “safe” keeping it in JPM’s vault decided he would rather provide his own means of safekeeping – understandably so.  OR, it’s entirely possible that the gold was hypothecated and the 100 oz. Comex bars were shipped to Swizterland where they will be refined into the kilo bars used on the Shanghai Gold Exchange.

Whatever the case might be,  the amount removed was 158k ozs, or a little over 4 tonnes. It’s amusing to contemplate this in the context of when Germany asked for its gold being held at the Fed, it took a year for the Fed to ship 5 tonnes…

Craig points out the amount of gold removed from JP Morgans eligible vault is greater than the total amount of gold in all Comex vaults – as reported – that is classified as being “registered,” or available for delivery.   You may note that I keep using the modifier, “as reported.”  If you read the area shaded in yellow at the bottom of the Comex report above, you’ll understand why.

With the bubble in Comex paper gold that has formed this year, there is a high probability that anyone who “safe”keeps their gold at the Comex is facing the increasing likelihood of losing the ability to get that gold delivered upon request.  Just ask Angela and Jens Weidmann (head of the Bundesbank)…

Extreme Gold/Silver Manipulation And Potential Financial Collapse

Doc from Silver Doctors invited me back on to his weekly market wrap to discuss the extreme manipulation in the precious metals market.  In addition to the massive imbalance between paper gold/silver and the above ground available for supply for delivery should a lot more  paper longs demand delivery, the potential exists for the mother of all short squeezes in gold  and silver.

We also discuss India’s current  demand, which is misunderstood and subjected to highly misleading media reporting by the likes of Reuters, Bloomberg and the World Gold Council.  I explain why this is the case and why India gold demand is significantly higher than is currently reported.

Other topics include the why Glencore could potential an OTC derivatives catastrophe and potential black swan events that could appear before the end of 2015: