IRD Note: For nearly two decades, GATA has seized on Frank Veneroso’s original research which provided first-hand evidence that Central Banks were actively operating to suppress the gold and has presented direct evidence of precious metals manipulation. Beyond this, there are public admissions from Henry Kissinger and Alan Greenspan acknowledging this fact. Unfortunately, those who deny that gold/silver are manipulated have never offered any response to the direct proof that Central Banks intervene directly in gold trading. The article below presenting just the facts was published by GATA.
Newsletter writer Steve Saville of The Speculative Investor, who long has denied that manipulation of the monetary metals markets means much, has seized on the recent essay by Keith Weiner of Monetary Metals as the conclusive refutation of silver market analyst Ted Butler’s longstanding complaint that JPMorganChase has been rigging the silver market.
Weiner’s analysis, headlined “Thoughtful Disagreement with Ted Butler” and posted here – LINK – argued that JPMorganChase is undertaking only ordinary arbitrage in the silver market, exploiting spreads between bid and ask prices.
Saville, in commentary headlined “A Silver Price-Suppression Theory Gets Debunked” – LINK – cheers Weiner’s essay and goes on to remark: “Entering a debate with someone who is incapable of being swayed by evidence that invalidates his position is a waste of time and energy, so these days I devote no commentary space and minimal blog space to debunking the manipulation-centric gold and silver articles that regularly appear.”
But when has Saville himself ever addressed evidence of manipulation of the gold and silver markets? Of course if he declines to address the evidence, he too can’t be swayed by it. The manipulation deniers never address the evidence. [IRD note: this is similar to Hilary Clinton never denying the allegations of corruption – instead she deflected the issue using the scare tactic of blaming the Russians for making the evidence public]
Weiner’s technical analysis is no refutation of silver market manipulation, for even if JPMorganChase is just doing arbitrage in silver, a judgment on manipulation would require knowing for whom the investment house was doing the arbitrage. JPMorganChase’s former chief of commodity operations, Blythe Masters, said on CNBC five years ago that the investment house had no position of its own in silver and was trading only for clients: LINK
So might those clients include governments and central banks, entities with nearly infinite resources sufficient to nullify markets? The question is compelling because filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission by CME Group, operator of the major futures exchanges in the United States, assert that governments and central banks are clients of the exchanges and that the exchanges give them special volume trading discounts for trading all futures contracts, not just financial futures contracts: HERE and HERE
Do Weiner and Saville know that JPMorganChase is not trading silver futures for governments and central banks? Do Weiner and Saville know that governments and central banks are not trading gold and gold derivatives surreptitiously? If Weiner and Saville think they know, they’re wrong, for the Bank for International Settlements admits that it operates as a broker in gold and gold derivatives for its member central banks: BIS admission
Indeed, in 2005 the director of the BIS’ monetary and economic department, William R. White, told a conference at BIS headquarters in Basel, Switzerland, that a primary purpose of international central bank cooperation is “the provision of international credits and joint efforts to influence asset prices (especially gold and foreign exchange) in circumstances where this might be thought useful“: LINK
The BIS even advertises that its services to its member central banks include surreptitious interventions in the gold market: LINK
Anyone who wants to engage in honest argument about gold and silver market manipulation needs to address a few simple questions:
1) Are governments and central banks active in the monetary metals markets or not?
2) Are the documents asserting such activity genuine or forgeries?
3) If governments and central banks are active in the monetary metals markets, is it just for fun or is it for policy purposes?
4) If such activity by governments and central banks is for policy purposes, do those purposes involve the traditional objectives of defeating an independent world currency that competes with government currencies and interferes with government control of interest rates, objectives documented at length by GATA here?: LINK
Of course if largely surreptitious intervention in the monetary metals markets by central banks and governments is ever acknowledged, technical analysis of those markets is meaningless, which may explain why technical analysts like Weiner and Saville avoid the crucial questions and just sneer at those who raise them.
I suspect that most people who are experienced precious metals trader will acknowledge that technical analysis is, and has been for some time, useless for trading in this market.
I call that a slam dunk rebuttal of the “Weiner” post. I’m sure Ted will take note and that he is crafting his own rebuttal which I can’t wait to read.
Great work Dave.
I really didn’t do much other than re-post the GATA work with a brief intro. I have not wasted brain cells reading Weiner’s drivel in many years.
Markets and I mean all markets have been manipulated
for years. The last ten years have been blatant manipulation.
The only way to ever trade gold is to use the C.O.T. report
and do short term trading, read intraday. The only time we
will ever see functioning markets again is when all the central
banks including China stop the printing presses. When that occurs
and the current crop of traders who have never seen a market melt
down get a reality check. Ever seen a trader with traders flu ?
I guess that gives a new meaning to the shit hitting the fan, LOL.
One of the reasons why these analysts think the way they do is because of their warped literal interpretation of law and morality. In their minds, if it’s legal…then it’s not manipulation. Doesn’t even matter to them that it’s based on deceptive business practices. Legal theft is not theft at all in their mental circus, hence why it’s impossible to convince them otherwise.
Usually, whenever I meet these kinds of people…I stay the hell away from them for obvious reasons.
Bill Gross of Janus blames Fed for ‘fake markets’
NEW YORK (Reuters) – Influential bond investor Bill Gross of Janus Henderson Investors said on Monday that financial markets are artificially compressed and capitalism distorted because of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s loose monetary policy.
“I think we have fake markets,” Gross said at a Janus Henderson event. Investors should brace for higher Treasury bond yields as the Fed begins to unwind its quantitative easing program but yields will edge up “only gradually,” he said.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-funds-janushenderson/bill-gross-of-janus-blames-fed-for-fake-markets-idUSKBN1CE2FG?
There can’t be just one fake market if the price of interest rates are manipulated.
It makes no differences now. The Chinese and the Russian will prove (or disprove) if there is manipulation in the PM markets.
If there is no manipulation, then why does Saville bother refuting something that doesn’t exist? Why deny something that isn’t there?
Even Oscar Meyer has denounced this lout! Like Kitco you have to wonder if his employer Smaulgld is in the space just to cast doubt on the legitimacy of PM’s. I don’t do business with either one.
Weiner is an enigma wrapped up in a bun…..