In real terms, most international fiat currencies could come to be near valueless when measured against gold and silver…And of course that climate will cause the utter collapse of the global stock markets, not to mention impact most severely our societal stability; all as direct consequence of the delusionary monetary practices employed for decades. – Safewealth newsletter
Sell please. I’m buying. There’s a lot of analysis out there with highly flawed assumptions. The biggest problem with this analysis – Seeking Alpha link – is that the author assumes the Fed will raise interest rates. That won’t happen until the entire is system is forced into a reset from a collapse. The Fed knows this and has no interest in hastening that reset.
Just like the continuous threat of raising interest rates, there’s been a continuous threat of “gold is overbought, too many longs, market is going to cliff-dive at any moment” like this article pouring forth (click to enlarge image). Where was this story-line when gold was being hammered daily as if the market was trying to dig a hole to China for the price of gold?
The gold net long is “stretched?” That meme is now quite tired. Put it to sleep please. Analysts with a longer track record in this sector than the author of the above article have been instilling the “net long” fear into the market for nearly three months now. Where’s this overbought sell-off?
They key to finding profit opportunity is to think outside the box. Based on my findings, there is a lot of institutional cash on the sidelines waiting to buy into the pm sector on any pullback. That’s why the metals have popped after that manipulated take-down on Monday – a takedown fueled by the “net long is overstretched” commentary that littered the airwaves last Friday after the COT report was released. (click image to enlarge)
This market has been surprising everyone to the upside and will continue to do so. At some point the lemmings who blindly soak up the “market is overbought” fairy tale will be running to catch the train. That’s when the real fun begins.
Currently gold is behaving similarly to the way it behaved back in 2003 when it was trying punch through $400. The “overbought” garbage was permeating the media back then just like now. In fact, Robert Prechter issued a call for gold sell off to $50. How’s that call look? Shortly thereafter the market blew through $400 and eventually hit $1900. I would suggest that the author in the article linked above was not around back then and thus has no context for what is happening now. (CLICK ON THE IMAGE TO THE RIGHT TO ACCESS IRD’s MINING STOCK JOURNAL)