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New And Existing Home Sales: Fact vs Spin

by irdadmin | Apr 27, 2021 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

Existing home sales, reported last Thursday, were down 3.7% from February (down 6.3% in February). Wall St was thinking they would rise 0.8%. The seasonally adjusted annualized sales rate dropped to 7-month lows. The reason for struggling existing home sales is...

New Home Sales Tank – KBH Claims Its Numbers “Improved”

by irdadmin | Jun 27, 2019 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

“We are confident we can produce further improvement in our results in the second half of this year” – KB Homes CEO in reference to its “returns-focused” growth model “Returns-Focused Growth Model.” Has a nice ring to it,...

Guest Post: New Home Sales Collapse

by irdadmin | Nov 30, 2018 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

Note: New homes sales, based on the seasonally adjusted annualized rate metric, are down over 23% from their peak in November 2017. Pending home sales, which translate into existing home sales less canceled contracts (typically failed financing), are down on a...

Homebuilder Stocks: A Short-Seller’s ATM

by irdadmin | May 22, 2018 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Precious Metals, U.S. Economy

Someone or some entity – likely a hedge fund – bought 4500 September $35-strike puts on XHB on Thursday last week when XHB was trading just above $39. That’s a $225,000 speculative bet that the XHB drops more than 15% by mid-September. This morning...

“Party Like It’s 1999” (or 2008 or 1987 or 1929)

by irdadmin | Oct 25, 2017 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

To paraphrase the highly regarded fund manager and notable bear, John Hussman, you can look like an idiot before a Bubble pops or after it’s popped. I guess I’m squarely in the camp of looking like an idiot before the bubble pops. I might watch “The...
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