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Homebuilder Stocks: A Short-Seller’s ATM

by irdadmin | May 22, 2018 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Precious Metals, U.S. Economy

Someone or some entity – likely a hedge fund – bought 4500 September $35-strike puts on XHB on Thursday last week when XHB was trading just above $39. That’s a $225,000 speculative bet that the XHB drops more than 15% by mid-September. This morning...

“Party Like It’s 1999” (or 2008 or 1987 or 1929)

by irdadmin | Oct 25, 2017 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

To paraphrase the highly regarded fund manager and notable bear, John Hussman, you can look like an idiot before a Bubble pops or after it’s popped. I guess I’m squarely in the camp of looking like an idiot before the bubble pops. I might watch “The...

Peak Housing Bubble: 2008 Deja Vu All Over Again

by irdadmin | Sep 28, 2017 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

Existing Home Sales were released Wednesday and the NAR’s seasonally adjusted annualized rate metric was down 1.7% from July. July was down 1.3% from June. The NAR’s SAAR metric is at its lowest rate since last August. Naturally the hurricane that hit...

The Debt Bubble Is Beginning To Burst

by irdadmin | Aug 23, 2017 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

There will be numerous excuses issued today by perma-bull analysts and financial tv morons explaining away the nearly 10% drop in new home sales. Wall Street was looking for the number of new homes, as reported by the Census Bureau, to be unchanged from June....

New Home Sale Reporting Borders On Fake News

by irdadmin | Jun 23, 2017 | Financial Markets, Housing Market, Market Manipulation, U.S. Economy

Headline monthly reporting of New Home Sales remained of no substance, short term, as seen most frequently here with massive, unstable and continuously shifting revisions to recent history, along with statistically – insignificant monthly and annual changes that...
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